Long Overdue
Since the last post, a good deal has happen and we have seen really 3 very different Washington Capitals teams. We start with the typical 2012 Caps. An embarrassing 5-0 loss to Zach Praise and the Devils followed by a 1-0 home loss to the hated Flyers erased all the good vibes the team was sending to fans following the comeback win over Long Island. Then they seemed to get it right against the Hurricanes going up 2-0 early, only to see the Canes fight back early in the 3rd to take the league on an easy goal caused by a dumb and risky play by Wideman.
Then we had the Cardiac Caps. Brooks Laich, who has been leader for the club the last month, tied the Hurricanes game late in regulation to gets the Caps a point they desperately needed in the standings. Unfortunately, another boneheaded, ill timed pinch by Wideman lost the game for DC in bonus hockey. Two nights later, the Cardica Caps were back as MoJo scored late in the 3rd ie the game v Tampa and the Captain won it in OT thanks to the grit and determination of Json Chimera and a sublime hesitation play by stud rookie defenseman Dmitry Orlov
But, the Cardiac Caps were not the only team in the building v Tampa. Following a tounge lashing from Dale Hunter, begging his club not to relying on their skill but rather their desire, the playoff bound Capitals showed up. Thanks in large part to a shutdown Tampa offense, the Caps controlled the 3rd period v Tampa, not allowing the Bolts a shot on cage until the game was already tied. They were the far dominate team, and their hardwork paid off as the game tying goal was on a broken play for Tampa.that dominating and intense hockey carried over to Saturday afternoon as the Caps downed the Stanley Cup Champs in their own barn for their best road victory of the season. And it was a game earlier in the year they would not have won as the late 1st period strike by Lucic would have doomed the Feburary Caps. They followed up their impressive effort back home on Sunday with a convincing 2-0 shutout of the sinking Maple Leafs.
6 games, 3 different Caps teams, 7 points, and no post. So no in depth analysis of any game, but here are some notes and observations from the week behind and the week ahead.
- The next 5 are all on the road, including stops in the Peg, the Joe, the Madhouse, and Philly. That's a murders row. They need to at worst go 2-3 on that stretch to stay on the race, and the Jets on Friday is a must win. I am predicting 3-2, with the Ls being against the Red Wings and Flyers, as Bryz is hot right now. But, if they Caps from Boston show up, who knows.
- Caps seem to be buying into the cycle game to score goals more since the Tampa game. They have had many impressive offensive zone shifts and they are wearing teams down. They also have started to capitalize on mistakes more, with the exception of poor Mike Knuble. Hunter also seems to have settled on some lines that work.
- The Power Play still blows, although the last 2 games have been sightly better. Want to see more Ovechkin on the end board.
- Agree with the suspension, but not the length for Green. I think Connolly put himself in that position and he did return to the ice.
- Three Stars over the last 3:
Number 1 in my mind has been Brooks Laich. He seems to have taken this team on his back, scoring 2 huge goals and making his presence felt in hard to score places. He really should be the Captain of the Caps.
Number 2 is Jay Beagle and his line mates Brouwer and Hendricks. They have been the teams best line the last 3 chipping in physically and offensively.
Number 3 is Orlov, who is playing far beyond his years logging big time minutes and adding another dimension to the Caps offensive attack.
- Caps need Halpern back. They have been outplayed in the face off dot.
- Neuvirth played exceptionally well v the Leafs, but look for Vokoun to get the bulk of the starts down the stretch. He is still number 1.
- Nick Backstrom has started skating. If he can get back this year, the whole outlook can change.
- Consistency is going to be the key moving forward. If the Caps play like they did the last three, there will be games in at least mid April. That means cycling the puck to create offense and generating shots and playing tough man defense. But really, there have been three things that have made the last three good: solid goaltending, minimal mistakes, and familiarity and confidence on the offenseive lines.
- Interesting point made by Brian McNally. If the Caps play over 500 hockey down the stretch, 7-6, they will only miss the playoffs if the Jets or Sabres go 9-3-1, Tampa goes 11-3 or the Leafs go 11-1-1 (or better obviously). Zero % chance it comes close to playing out like that, but those odds look pretty good. Although if the Caps continue their win 3 lose 3 trend and any of those scinerios play out, they would have a must win on Broadway to end the year.
- RG3 is already more popular than the Great 8.
- Don't look now, but the Penuins are on a tear and are a mere 4 points back of the Rangers. That means, if Florida holds on to the SE, we might be in for a Pens/Caps Quarterfinal with a healthy Crosby. Scary thought, but bring it on!
Note: Wrote this before the Islander game but had Internet issues until yesterday. Suffice to say a lot of the same analysis applies, with the addition of Keith Aucoin as a surprise contributor. Caps showing some resilience in being able to comeback, which will be big down the road.
Friday, March 16, 2012
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
Miracle on F Street
In order to have a successful season, an NHL team needs to be able to do two things, beat the teams you are suppose to beat and occasionally win the games you are suppose to lose. The Capitals managed to do both last night in the five most thrilling minutes of the seasons. When Matt Moulson scored for the Islanders 2 minutes into the final frame, all the air and excitement exited Verizon Center and every living tuned into Comcast Sportsnet. There was no way the 2011-2012 Washington Capitals without Nick Backstrom were going to win that game. And of course, as soon as it looked like they were going to break through, Matt Hendricks takes an offensive zone penalty and before we know it, only 5 minutes remain in regulation. Queue the Miracle on F Street.
The best players in the game last night were the grinders: Chimera, Brouwer, and Beagle. So, it came to no surprise that the improbable comeback started with two of them. With about three minutes to play, Chimera won a puck battle in the corner, allowing Matheiu Perreault to make a desperation centering pass that found Troy Brouwer on the far post and swing the momentum to DC. Two minutes later they pulled Neuvirth, and for 30 seconds of 6 on 5, the puck was almost exclusively in the neutral zone as a tired Capitals squad tried desperately to get the puck in the offensive zone. Luckily though, the Islanders cleared the puck into their own bench, allowing the Capitals to call a timeout before an offensive zone draw. The decision of the night was then made by Assistant Coach Jim Johnson, who drew up the tying tip in goal and chose to put Jeff Halpern on ice for the draw, sending the Verizon faithful into the biggest frenzie ever for an overtime forcing goal when Brouwer deflected a Laich shot pass Nabokov. Less than 5 minutes later, the much maligned captain netted the overtime game winning goal in vintage fashion to complete the comeback.
Now, it is important to keep things in perspective. This was one game and a game at home, which has not been the concern this year. It was also against one of the few teams in the East that are outside of the playoff race. It is a game that Capitals were suppose to win, yet barely did. They looked sloppy and frustrated for most of the night. Passes were routinely off the mark or intercepted, cycles often did not lead to chances, and the power play was nothing short of miserable. Despite the rally at the end, many of the key players looked bad, mainly Ovechkin and MoJo. And they are still clinging to 8th place in the conference.
But, it is also equally important not to undervalue the win. It was a very important 2 points in the standings that they stole late. Despite the sloppy and disorganized at times play, they did manage to be in control most of the time. That sounds odd, but I do believe the Capitals were the better team last night and frustration started to take over. They also outshot the Islanders by a recent margin and Michal Neuvirth was nothing short of spectacular at times. Troy Brouwer getting on the scoresheet again is also huge as he is part of the secondary scoring that has been missing lately.
The biggest positive of last night? At the risk of sounding cliche, it was the fact that the Capitals found some heart. Over the weekend leading into the trade deadline, Barry Melrose said the Caps were the most disappointing team in the league and that no trade would solve their lack of heart. It's hard to argue against that statement given the collapses and laughers the Caps how had this year. Last night was a different story. The Capitals 100% lose that game a month ago. But last night they found an extra gear late and gutted out a win. Brooks Laich said after the game that last nights comeback win over the lowly Islanders might sway the season. He very well could be right, but only if they follow it up this weekend with performances against the Devils (who are 5 points ahead of the Caps) and Flyers that are as inspired as the last 5 minutes of last night's win.
The best players in the game last night were the grinders: Chimera, Brouwer, and Beagle. So, it came to no surprise that the improbable comeback started with two of them. With about three minutes to play, Chimera won a puck battle in the corner, allowing Matheiu Perreault to make a desperation centering pass that found Troy Brouwer on the far post and swing the momentum to DC. Two minutes later they pulled Neuvirth, and for 30 seconds of 6 on 5, the puck was almost exclusively in the neutral zone as a tired Capitals squad tried desperately to get the puck in the offensive zone. Luckily though, the Islanders cleared the puck into their own bench, allowing the Capitals to call a timeout before an offensive zone draw. The decision of the night was then made by Assistant Coach Jim Johnson, who drew up the tying tip in goal and chose to put Jeff Halpern on ice for the draw, sending the Verizon faithful into the biggest frenzie ever for an overtime forcing goal when Brouwer deflected a Laich shot pass Nabokov. Less than 5 minutes later, the much maligned captain netted the overtime game winning goal in vintage fashion to complete the comeback.
Now, it is important to keep things in perspective. This was one game and a game at home, which has not been the concern this year. It was also against one of the few teams in the East that are outside of the playoff race. It is a game that Capitals were suppose to win, yet barely did. They looked sloppy and frustrated for most of the night. Passes were routinely off the mark or intercepted, cycles often did not lead to chances, and the power play was nothing short of miserable. Despite the rally at the end, many of the key players looked bad, mainly Ovechkin and MoJo. And they are still clinging to 8th place in the conference.
But, it is also equally important not to undervalue the win. It was a very important 2 points in the standings that they stole late. Despite the sloppy and disorganized at times play, they did manage to be in control most of the time. That sounds odd, but I do believe the Capitals were the better team last night and frustration started to take over. They also outshot the Islanders by a recent margin and Michal Neuvirth was nothing short of spectacular at times. Troy Brouwer getting on the scoresheet again is also huge as he is part of the secondary scoring that has been missing lately.
The biggest positive of last night? At the risk of sounding cliche, it was the fact that the Capitals found some heart. Over the weekend leading into the trade deadline, Barry Melrose said the Caps were the most disappointing team in the league and that no trade would solve their lack of heart. It's hard to argue against that statement given the collapses and laughers the Caps how had this year. Last night was a different story. The Capitals 100% lose that game a month ago. But last night they found an extra gear late and gutted out a win. Brooks Laich said after the game that last nights comeback win over the lowly Islanders might sway the season. He very well could be right, but only if they follow it up this weekend with performances against the Devils (who are 5 points ahead of the Caps) and Flyers that are as inspired as the last 5 minutes of last night's win.
Monday, February 27, 2012
Around the NHL on Trade Deadline
The Caps were not the only quiet team out there. Many were with no real big names moves, making Tradecentre on TSN very awkward. Here is a brief rundown of the impact deals.
- Jeff Carter to LA, with Jack Johnson and 1st going to C-Bus
Great move for both. Carter back with Richards and a stud defenseman for Columbus. Move actually happen last week as the big news out of Columbus was Rick Nash staying put.
- Sami Paulsson leaves Columbus as Vancouver deals a 2 and 4.
Good depth for a team that can make a run at the Cup again.
- Cody Hodgson (Van), prospect, and pick for Zack Kassian (Buf), Marc Andre Grangnai and pick
Huge risk for Vancouver as Hodgson is a blue chip prospect who might win the Calder. Kassian is a big body, but a short term move. Only works if they win it all.
- Brian Rolston heads from the Islanders to Bruins for prospects. Also add Greg Zanon.
Have to think this could have been Knuble and Hamrlik. McPhee likely wanted too much, or as he said, would not take futures and picks. Mistake.
- Daniel Winnick and TJ Gallinari leave Mile High for SJ in exchange for Jamie McGinn.
Toughness upgrade in SJ and a young player who has shown the ability to score tis year goes to Colorado.
- Paul Gaustad to Nashville for 1st. Nashville also reunites the Kostitsyns.
Former Caps GM Polie knows this is his shot since they cannot keep Weber and Suter. Gave up a lot for Gaustad and glad McPhee did not do it. Kostitsyns is a risk, but if he messes well again with his brother and behaves, big payoff.
- Johnny Oduya leaves the Peg for Chicago for a 2 and a 3.
Fills a hole for Chicago and gave the Jets good value. It also weakens a team the Caps are chasing,
So again, not much, but no one knows the almost deals. Caps say they were not close to any deals. It was a buyers market with no sellers, although we have no idea how close McPhee got and whether he will live to regret not pulling the trigger.
- Jeff Carter to LA, with Jack Johnson and 1st going to C-Bus
Great move for both. Carter back with Richards and a stud defenseman for Columbus. Move actually happen last week as the big news out of Columbus was Rick Nash staying put.
- Sami Paulsson leaves Columbus as Vancouver deals a 2 and 4.
Good depth for a team that can make a run at the Cup again.
- Cody Hodgson (Van), prospect, and pick for Zack Kassian (Buf), Marc Andre Grangnai and pick
Huge risk for Vancouver as Hodgson is a blue chip prospect who might win the Calder. Kassian is a big body, but a short term move. Only works if they win it all.
- Brian Rolston heads from the Islanders to Bruins for prospects. Also add Greg Zanon.
Have to think this could have been Knuble and Hamrlik. McPhee likely wanted too much, or as he said, would not take futures and picks. Mistake.
- Daniel Winnick and TJ Gallinari leave Mile High for SJ in exchange for Jamie McGinn.
Toughness upgrade in SJ and a young player who has shown the ability to score tis year goes to Colorado.
- Paul Gaustad to Nashville for 1st. Nashville also reunites the Kostitsyns.
Former Caps GM Polie knows this is his shot since they cannot keep Weber and Suter. Gave up a lot for Gaustad and glad McPhee did not do it. Kostitsyns is a risk, but if he messes well again with his brother and behaves, big payoff.
- Johnny Oduya leaves the Peg for Chicago for a 2 and a 3.
Fills a hole for Chicago and gave the Jets good value. It also weakens a team the Caps are chasing,
So again, not much, but no one knows the almost deals. Caps say they were not close to any deals. It was a buyers market with no sellers, although we have no idea how close McPhee got and whether he will live to regret not pulling the trigger.
Huh?
The trade deadline has come and gone. There will be no new faces in DC, yet the disgruntled faces of Knuble and Hamrlik remain. In a move described by many so called experts as shocking, GMGM made no changes to the current Capitals roster. Curiously though, the team did place Backstrom on long term IR, although GMGM confirms that it is retroactive, so he could play next week if healthy. The only advantages to LTIR is that it openes a roster spot and make room under the salary cap, and in Backstroms case 6.7 million in space. I really felt that meant a move was coming given the timing of the decision. They could have done that tomorrow and still opened a roster spot. Not moving Hamrlik makes no sense at all. He has been a disaster, is on the books next year, does not mesh with the coach, and could help a team needing depth. Take literally anything for him.
Now, if the Capitals tried to make moves and the price was too high, good on GMGM. For instance,the Capitals needed a second line center, and Paul Gaustad would have been a good fit. But he cost Nashville a 1 and 4. Not worth it. And if options for bigger players involved Kuznetsov, ditto. But, it is hard to believe nothing could be done to improve this team, despite McPhee's claim that there was nothing out there better than what they have or could call up from Hershey.
Going into today, the Capitals were engulfed in uncertainty. They went 3-3 on during an important stretch of the season leading up to the deadline and the team has bounced between 10 and 8 in the conference for the last week or so. One assumes when you are going well and want to move to the next level you deal. Clearly not the Capitals. You also deal when you are not going well and want to give yourself a chance. Then of course, when you are not going well and are to far behind to improve, you sell. That Caps fall into both those categories, yet did nothing, signaling that they not only lack an identity on the ice, but also in the main office. McPhee clearly does not know what to make of this team, so rather than making a change, he is going to live or die with a team that constantly takes one step forward then two giant steps back. And it is terrfying to hear that McPhee has been happy with the play the "last few days", implying that he thinks it can turn around without any changes. He did nothing to help them live and nothing to ameliorate the death.
Meanwhile, the Panthers added two depth forwards over the last few days and the Jets are streaking. Nothing is over and anything can happen over the last 20 games, but one cannot help but think this was McPhee throwing in the towel without really letting us know that is his plan. He just simply does not know what to make of this team. The best we can hope for is that e team makes a little run, sneaks into the 7 or 8 spot (or 3 if they win the SE no one seems to want to win) and Nick Backstrom starts skating in mid March and is ready at the gates when the post season starts and the Caps make a run. Clearly what McPhee thinks will happen, but seems unlikily with the uncertaintiy with concussions and the lack of action today. Unlikely. More likely seems to be sneaking in and leaving early or scheduling tee times in early April. McPhee stated that with Backstrom, this team can beat anyone in the East, without they can make the playoffs, confirming that he is putting all his eggs in a healthy Nick Backstrom basket. Yet he did nothing to help them get to the point where there is an opportunity for Backstrom to help.
Just starting to look like a season that began with the Caps getting the steal of the free agency and being crown Stanley Cup Champs in "The Hockey News" preview is actually going to fall incredibly short of expectations.
Now, if the Capitals tried to make moves and the price was too high, good on GMGM. For instance,the Capitals needed a second line center, and Paul Gaustad would have been a good fit. But he cost Nashville a 1 and 4. Not worth it. And if options for bigger players involved Kuznetsov, ditto. But, it is hard to believe nothing could be done to improve this team, despite McPhee's claim that there was nothing out there better than what they have or could call up from Hershey.
Going into today, the Capitals were engulfed in uncertainty. They went 3-3 on during an important stretch of the season leading up to the deadline and the team has bounced between 10 and 8 in the conference for the last week or so. One assumes when you are going well and want to move to the next level you deal. Clearly not the Capitals. You also deal when you are not going well and want to give yourself a chance. Then of course, when you are not going well and are to far behind to improve, you sell. That Caps fall into both those categories, yet did nothing, signaling that they not only lack an identity on the ice, but also in the main office. McPhee clearly does not know what to make of this team, so rather than making a change, he is going to live or die with a team that constantly takes one step forward then two giant steps back. And it is terrfying to hear that McPhee has been happy with the play the "last few days", implying that he thinks it can turn around without any changes. He did nothing to help them live and nothing to ameliorate the death.
Meanwhile, the Panthers added two depth forwards over the last few days and the Jets are streaking. Nothing is over and anything can happen over the last 20 games, but one cannot help but think this was McPhee throwing in the towel without really letting us know that is his plan. He just simply does not know what to make of this team. The best we can hope for is that e team makes a little run, sneaks into the 7 or 8 spot (or 3 if they win the SE no one seems to want to win) and Nick Backstrom starts skating in mid March and is ready at the gates when the post season starts and the Caps make a run. Clearly what McPhee thinks will happen, but seems unlikily with the uncertaintiy with concussions and the lack of action today. Unlikely. More likely seems to be sneaking in and leaving early or scheduling tee times in early April. McPhee stated that with Backstrom, this team can beat anyone in the East, without they can make the playoffs, confirming that he is putting all his eggs in a healthy Nick Backstrom basket. Yet he did nothing to help them get to the point where there is an opportunity for Backstrom to help.
Just starting to look like a season that began with the Caps getting the steal of the free agency and being crown Stanley Cup Champs in "The Hockey News" preview is actually going to fall incredibly short of expectations.
Sunday, February 26, 2012
What Does it All Mean
Huge win in FLA, two inexcusable defeats during arguably the most important stretch of the season followed two convincing wins, one on the road. And all days before the trade deadline. Many, including this blog, felt that the last 6 games would determine the fate and direction of the team for the rest of the season. And naturally, they went 3-3 and ended with 2 wins in a row, leaving them points wise in the same spot as before but with a sense of optimism that they might be close to turning the corner. What it also does is confirm that this team is both inconsistent and lacks identity. But if you take the pulse of Caps nation today, many would say the season is still very much
The feeling that the Caps are not dead yet is a fair one. They are getting very lucky right now, that despite their play, they are staying in the same spot in the standings because every team around them is also floundering. All that has really changed is that the Jets are now in the mix. Florida is becoming the team everyone thought they were, good but not a threat, and Toronto is doing the typical Toronto flop. So the Capitals are alive.
At the same time though, there is no doubt that this team has issues and many of them are not quick fixes. Hunter is beginning to look Ike he might not be the answer, which is not helped by the tear Bruce Boudreau is currently on. The power play is still terrible and the Caps trend of playing poorly early on the road has crippled their record.
So, what should GMGM do before 3pm tomorrow? Those who see the team as flawed, lacking depth, talent, and the consistency necessary to make it out of the first round would advocate selling the team, which means moving Semin, Vokoun, Knuble, Halpern, Hamrilk, And Wideman for picks and prospects. Those who have been fooled into thinking this is a Stanley Cup team again would throw the farm at Columbus order Nashville for Rick Nash and Ryan Suter. So, what to do?
Not to take the easy why out, but the answer lies in between. The Caps are only 1 point out of the playoffs and the 3rd seed. And while the road trip could have gone better, they did pick up 6 points a kept pace. Even if you do not think they are capable of a run, a team cannot completely sell when they are clearly in the hunt. It sends the wrong message to the team, coaches, and fans. And do not underestimate that last point. The Caps have build a strong brand in DC cannot ruin that by selling when 1 point out. There is also the impact of Mike Green's return. Despite his polarizing effect on Caps Nation, there is no doubt the team plays better when him in place. So, in a way, the Caps have already made an internal trade deadline upgrade. Plus, action at the trade deadline would do exactly what many have thought the Caps have needed in the past, meaning games down the stretch to transition into a run in April, May, and June.
So, do both. First, move Knuble and Hamirlik at minimum. They are great for teams firmly in the playoffs, but bad for those fighting to get in. Take picks, players, or prospects. It does not matter. Also consider moving Vokoun for a big enough return. The Caps need offense and Neuvirth looks like he can handle the rest of the year. But do not move him for nothing. Then, make a play for a center. This can be a bigger splash move than normal for McPhee at the deadline. Possible targets should be Derek Roy, Derek Brassard, or the newly available Tomas Plakanec, who would be a perfect fit with Alex Semin and a potent one-two punch with Backstrom if he returns. All these deals should be possible with picks as long as McPhee turns the players above into picks. The only big name I would consider moving is Semin and only if he returns something solid. I doubt he is back next year either way. So essentially, buy and sell to give you a chance this year without forfeiting the farm, which might be needed if this all fails.
If none of this works and the season goes down in flames, blow it up this offseason. But there is no reason to do it at the deadline given where they stand today.
The feeling that the Caps are not dead yet is a fair one. They are getting very lucky right now, that despite their play, they are staying in the same spot in the standings because every team around them is also floundering. All that has really changed is that the Jets are now in the mix. Florida is becoming the team everyone thought they were, good but not a threat, and Toronto is doing the typical Toronto flop. So the Capitals are alive.
At the same time though, there is no doubt that this team has issues and many of them are not quick fixes. Hunter is beginning to look Ike he might not be the answer, which is not helped by the tear Bruce Boudreau is currently on. The power play is still terrible and the Caps trend of playing poorly early on the road has crippled their record.
So, what should GMGM do before 3pm tomorrow? Those who see the team as flawed, lacking depth, talent, and the consistency necessary to make it out of the first round would advocate selling the team, which means moving Semin, Vokoun, Knuble, Halpern, Hamrilk, And Wideman for picks and prospects. Those who have been fooled into thinking this is a Stanley Cup team again would throw the farm at Columbus order Nashville for Rick Nash and Ryan Suter. So, what to do?
Not to take the easy why out, but the answer lies in between. The Caps are only 1 point out of the playoffs and the 3rd seed. And while the road trip could have gone better, they did pick up 6 points a kept pace. Even if you do not think they are capable of a run, a team cannot completely sell when they are clearly in the hunt. It sends the wrong message to the team, coaches, and fans. And do not underestimate that last point. The Caps have build a strong brand in DC cannot ruin that by selling when 1 point out. There is also the impact of Mike Green's return. Despite his polarizing effect on Caps Nation, there is no doubt the team plays better when him in place. So, in a way, the Caps have already made an internal trade deadline upgrade. Plus, action at the trade deadline would do exactly what many have thought the Caps have needed in the past, meaning games down the stretch to transition into a run in April, May, and June.
So, do both. First, move Knuble and Hamirlik at minimum. They are great for teams firmly in the playoffs, but bad for those fighting to get in. Take picks, players, or prospects. It does not matter. Also consider moving Vokoun for a big enough return. The Caps need offense and Neuvirth looks like he can handle the rest of the year. But do not move him for nothing. Then, make a play for a center. This can be a bigger splash move than normal for McPhee at the deadline. Possible targets should be Derek Roy, Derek Brassard, or the newly available Tomas Plakanec, who would be a perfect fit with Alex Semin and a potent one-two punch with Backstrom if he returns. All these deals should be possible with picks as long as McPhee turns the players above into picks. The only big name I would consider moving is Semin and only if he returns something solid. I doubt he is back next year either way. So essentially, buy and sell to give you a chance this year without forfeiting the farm, which might be needed if this all fails.
If none of this works and the season goes down in flames, blow it up this offseason. But there is no reason to do it at the deadline given where they stand today.
Monday, February 20, 2012
Evaluating GMGM
Today on "THe Mke Wise Show with Holden Kushner" on 106.7 The Fan, Capitals beat writer Sky Kerstine questioned whether longtime GM George McPhee is currently managing for this job. McPhee has long been considered one of the top General Managers in the NHL, but in a season where many considered the Caps to be a Cup contender, the possible disastrous end to the season will begin discussion of McPhee's job security. As the old adage goes, it is hard to fire the whole team, so normally the coach and GM are the first to go.
So, if the Caps miss the playoffs, should GMGM go? To answer that question, we need to look at his career as a whole, not just this year. To truly evaluate a GM, you need to consider four major factors: draft success, free agent signings, trades, and extensions.
Draft Success: McPhee's draft success has been a mixed bag, with the early years being questionable and the late years looking much better. Obviously, the best player McPhee drafted was Ovechkin in 2004 and that was hard to mess up. Up until the 2004 draft though, it can be argued that McPhee had at best 2 good draft picks, Eric Fehr in 2003 and Semin and in 2004, and only Semin has been exceptional. McPhee also blew a chance to really improve his club in 2002 when he selected Gordon, Steve Eminger, and Semin in the top 20 picks while missing on the likes of Cam Ward and Duncan Keith. As a whole, from the year 1997 to 2003 only 8 McPhee picks saw extensive time with the team, which is terrible.
Post 2004 has been a different story for McPhee. Thanks in large part to the 2003 fire sale, McPhee did exceptionally well in the early rounds of drafts. The 2004 draft netted Ovechkin, Mike Green and Jeff Schultz in the 1st round, all of which have made significant impacts on the team. Then the 2006 draft saw Backstrom, Varlamov, and Neuvirth join the team in the first 2 rounds while the 2007 and 2008 drafts created the dynamic defensive duo of Alzner and Carlson in round 1. More recent drafts are hard to judge, but players like MoJo, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Holtby, Galiev, Eakin and more look like solid picks. While tis clearly shows McPhee has improved as a judge of talent, he has not yet found a late round gem, although that is really hit or miss.
Free Agent Signings: This is the area where I think McPhee has fallen short of expectations. Take this year alone, where Hamrlik and Joel Ward have been huge disappoints that are impossible to move. There is also the disaster that was the Nylander signing as well as the extension given to Jagr right after trading for him. McPhee also chose to settle for Brian Pothier rather than go all out for Zdeno Chara.
This is not to say it has all been bad. Mike Knuble has been great in his time with DC and his Robert Lang signing in 2002 would have been good if at a different time. Viktor Kozlov also was a good signing as well Tom Poti in 2006 and Halpern and Voukoun has worked out this year.
Trades: McPhee's best area in my opinion. The only truly bad trade he has made was the deal for Jagr. He was masterful before the lockout, moving aging stars such as Peter Bondra, Robert Lang, Adam Oates and more for important future pieces such as Brooks Laich, Fleischmann, and picks that turned into people like Mike Green. He also has been very good at the deadline. In 1998 he traded for ESA Tikkean, who despite his infamous missed goal in game 2 of the Cup Finals, was key to the 1998 Cinderella Cup run. His moves in 2008 to bring in Cristobal Huet, Sergei Federov, and Matt Cooke can be considered franchise altering as it propelled the Caps from worst to first in the Southeast and signaled the success of the rebuild. His trades for Zubrus and Wideman were also good and despite the success of Fleischmann this year, the trade for Hannan was right at the time. The Brouwer move at the draft this year also seems to be strong and he robbed Colorado blind with the Varlamov deal that gave the Caps 2 1st round picks.
Extensions: If trades are McPhee's strength, I would argue this is his weakness. McPhee seems to continually resign players too soon or for too much. A prime example of too soon was Tom Poti, who has not seen the ice since he resigned 2 years ago. Example of too much would be Schultz, who had one good year and has been terrible since. Many now would also point to the Ovechkin deal as too long and too much, but at the time it was 100% the correct move.
So to summarize, McPhee has improved in his drafting and talent evaluations, is good at making adjustments via trades, yet often falls short of free agents and extensions. Most would consider that pretty good for a GM and this would be the first season he has really fallen short of expectations given the teams success.
So, should he be fired if the Caps miss the playoffs? Yes and no. You cannot fire the whole team, and Bruce was already fired so McPhee is the logical next choice. But, the new coach and injuries should save him as no team could succeed without their top center snd defeseman for most of the season. But, he might need to have a come to Jesus moment and realize that the core he has committed to might not be able to get the job done and drastic moves will need to be made. So, I think he gets a pass this year, but his choice on how to respond to a missed playoff will determine his long term future.
So, if the Caps miss the playoffs, should GMGM go? To answer that question, we need to look at his career as a whole, not just this year. To truly evaluate a GM, you need to consider four major factors: draft success, free agent signings, trades, and extensions.
Draft Success: McPhee's draft success has been a mixed bag, with the early years being questionable and the late years looking much better. Obviously, the best player McPhee drafted was Ovechkin in 2004 and that was hard to mess up. Up until the 2004 draft though, it can be argued that McPhee had at best 2 good draft picks, Eric Fehr in 2003 and Semin and in 2004, and only Semin has been exceptional. McPhee also blew a chance to really improve his club in 2002 when he selected Gordon, Steve Eminger, and Semin in the top 20 picks while missing on the likes of Cam Ward and Duncan Keith. As a whole, from the year 1997 to 2003 only 8 McPhee picks saw extensive time with the team, which is terrible.
Post 2004 has been a different story for McPhee. Thanks in large part to the 2003 fire sale, McPhee did exceptionally well in the early rounds of drafts. The 2004 draft netted Ovechkin, Mike Green and Jeff Schultz in the 1st round, all of which have made significant impacts on the team. Then the 2006 draft saw Backstrom, Varlamov, and Neuvirth join the team in the first 2 rounds while the 2007 and 2008 drafts created the dynamic defensive duo of Alzner and Carlson in round 1. More recent drafts are hard to judge, but players like MoJo, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Holtby, Galiev, Eakin and more look like solid picks. While tis clearly shows McPhee has improved as a judge of talent, he has not yet found a late round gem, although that is really hit or miss.
Free Agent Signings: This is the area where I think McPhee has fallen short of expectations. Take this year alone, where Hamrlik and Joel Ward have been huge disappoints that are impossible to move. There is also the disaster that was the Nylander signing as well as the extension given to Jagr right after trading for him. McPhee also chose to settle for Brian Pothier rather than go all out for Zdeno Chara.
This is not to say it has all been bad. Mike Knuble has been great in his time with DC and his Robert Lang signing in 2002 would have been good if at a different time. Viktor Kozlov also was a good signing as well Tom Poti in 2006 and Halpern and Voukoun has worked out this year.
Trades: McPhee's best area in my opinion. The only truly bad trade he has made was the deal for Jagr. He was masterful before the lockout, moving aging stars such as Peter Bondra, Robert Lang, Adam Oates and more for important future pieces such as Brooks Laich, Fleischmann, and picks that turned into people like Mike Green. He also has been very good at the deadline. In 1998 he traded for ESA Tikkean, who despite his infamous missed goal in game 2 of the Cup Finals, was key to the 1998 Cinderella Cup run. His moves in 2008 to bring in Cristobal Huet, Sergei Federov, and Matt Cooke can be considered franchise altering as it propelled the Caps from worst to first in the Southeast and signaled the success of the rebuild. His trades for Zubrus and Wideman were also good and despite the success of Fleischmann this year, the trade for Hannan was right at the time. The Brouwer move at the draft this year also seems to be strong and he robbed Colorado blind with the Varlamov deal that gave the Caps 2 1st round picks.
Extensions: If trades are McPhee's strength, I would argue this is his weakness. McPhee seems to continually resign players too soon or for too much. A prime example of too soon was Tom Poti, who has not seen the ice since he resigned 2 years ago. Example of too much would be Schultz, who had one good year and has been terrible since. Many now would also point to the Ovechkin deal as too long and too much, but at the time it was 100% the correct move.
So to summarize, McPhee has improved in his drafting and talent evaluations, is good at making adjustments via trades, yet often falls short of free agents and extensions. Most would consider that pretty good for a GM and this would be the first season he has really fallen short of expectations given the teams success.
So, should he be fired if the Caps miss the playoffs? Yes and no. You cannot fire the whole team, and Bruce was already fired so McPhee is the logical next choice. But, the new coach and injuries should save him as no team could succeed without their top center snd defeseman for most of the season. But, he might need to have a come to Jesus moment and realize that the core he has committed to might not be able to get the job done and drastic moves will need to be made. So, I think he gets a pass this year, but his choice on how to respond to a missed playoff will determine his long term future.
Thursday, February 16, 2012
Notes from Kettler
Interesting day at Kettler for the Caps. Yesterday, longtime goalie and legend Olie Kolzig called out Ovechkin for not working hard like he did in his younger days and succumbing to "the rock star life that comes with being Alex Ovechkin". One would expect the team to try and smooth that comment over, but McPhee was shocking frank when asked about it and said the comment was not entirely untrue.
On the ice, reports are that the rock star and the all star exchanged words and shoves as Ovechkin and Wideman apparently had a brief altercation. Both shrugged it off after practice, but tense practice and tense words from the boss are both worth noting. This either means the run is coming...... Or the wheels are about to completely come off. Now would be the time to run with a 4 game road swing that includes games v Ottawa, Carolina, Tampa, and of course FLA. A 4 game tear against teams that are in the race but not overly intimidating would be just to medicine to cure the woeful Caps.
Flyers also made a deal for a defenseman today, which could officially start the trade deadline excitement. No new news from the Caps besides McPhee saying that Knuble would not be traded. But, if we have learned anything about McPhee over the years, it's to never trust what he says this time of year.
On the ice, reports are that the rock star and the all star exchanged words and shoves as Ovechkin and Wideman apparently had a brief altercation. Both shrugged it off after practice, but tense practice and tense words from the boss are both worth noting. This either means the run is coming...... Or the wheels are about to completely come off. Now would be the time to run with a 4 game road swing that includes games v Ottawa, Carolina, Tampa, and of course FLA. A 4 game tear against teams that are in the race but not overly intimidating would be just to medicine to cure the woeful Caps.
Flyers also made a deal for a defenseman today, which could officially start the trade deadline excitement. No new news from the Caps besides McPhee saying that Knuble would not be traded. But, if we have learned anything about McPhee over the years, it's to never trust what he says this time of year.
Wednesday, February 15, 2012
Caps Rumored to be Burning Up the Phone Lines
It is no secret that the Capitals as currently constructed are not equipped to necessarily make the playoffs, let alone compete for the Stanley Cup. With the trade deadline set for Monday Feb 27, the rumor mill has been ablaze and the Capitals are supposedly right in the middle. One report had McPhee as the GM “burning up the most phonelines to improve his squad”.
So, what can or should the Capitals do? The next 6 games and the health of Green and Backstrom will drive what McPhee does so its difficult to speculate how big a move will be made. But speculating is fun, so lets give it a try.
1. What do we need?
Again, this is entirely predicated on Backstrom and Green. If both are healthy, the Capitals could make minor, low risk moves to improve depth, toughness, and leadership, like all teams look to do in March. But, if the two former “Young Guns” are still shelved, the Capitals desperately need depth at center and another reliable defenseman.
2. Who should go?
First, we need to break the team down into four categories: Unavaliable/Get Them Out/Blue Chip Prospects/ Can Be Moved.
Unavailable: Just what it sounds like. Short of an offer of the Sedins, Stamkos, or Toews/Kane, no way these Capitals leave town:
- Alex Ovechkin- The calls to trade him are insane.
- Nick Backstrom- Hopefully there is no arguing his value now.
- Karl Alzner- Soon to be shut down star.
- John Carlson- Tough sophomore season, but is the most well rounded defender in the system
- Marcus Johansson- Look out next year.
- Brooks Laich- Heart and soul.
- Dmitry Orlov- Will develop into offensive star.
- Jason Chimera- Speed, heart, strength.
- Troy Brouwer- This one is arguable, but I really like his game. Young Knuble.
Get Them Out: Would love to move them out and would take just about anything offered within reason.
- Jeff Schultz- Enough said.
- Roman Hamrlik- Looks old and is becoming a liability
- Joel Ward- I know he is suppose to show up in May, but we need help now!
Blue Chips: Most deadline deals involve prospects. These are the ones that if asked for, McPhee should hang up right away.
- Evgeny Kuznetsov- World class talent who will make immediate impact next year. Would love to have him now.
- Braden Holtby- Think he was always the best of the three (Neuvy and Varly). Technically sound and plays older than his age.
Can be moved: When the dust settles, here are the players that can contractually and team need wise be move.
- Mike Knuble: His age has finally caught up to him. He can be a nice addition to a team like Boston, Vancouver, New York, or Detroit looking for veteran leadership for a cup run. But the Caps need help now!
- Jeff Schultz: Someone will be intrigued by his size and we can fool them into thinking his +50 in 2009-2010 was not a fluke.
- Mike Green: If the Capitals make a run at a big player, Green could be the key piece to get it done. He is young and his skills are without question. A team looking to rebuild would love to have him run the PP and since he is an RFA next year, he is not completely a rental. With the emergence of the Caps new trio of defenders and the injuries, I think Green might be done in DC regardless. It would for sure be a risk, but if he is still doubtful to return to full strength this year, McPhee should not say no.
- Matheiu Perreault: This can only happen if it nets a center or Backstrom returns. Perreault has been hot, making him more valuable than ever right now. When the team is healthy, I do not think Matty P gets a jersey on a regular basis.
- Cody Eakin: Like his game and think he could help in the future, but any big deal will likely include him given the two players off the table in the prospect category.
And now the fun one…..
- Alex Semin: The most mentioned name in any Capitals trade for the last 5 years. Semin is a world talent when he wants to be. The problem is, he never wants to be. This is an incredibly risky move given the Capitals scoring woes and his relationship with the core players. But, I doubt he returns next season (and might even bolt to the KHL), so if it nets a goal scorer, pull the trigger.
3. Ideas- Here are some possible trades. Some are for fun, but others could work....
Pipe Dreams
Semin, Green, & Picks for RICK NASH
Nash is the biggest name in the rumor mill right now and no doubt he would look great next to Ovechkin and Backstrom. This package could get it done and without Semin the Caps could support the contract, but this is a true long shot.
Semin, Eakin, and Schultz for RYAN SUTER
This one is not as crazy as it looks. Suter would easily be the Capitals best defender and could pair with Alzner to shut down anyone in the league. Nashville cannot afford to resign Suter and Weber and have always needed goal scoring. They are in the mix and Semin could help this year for sure. Not likely, but I think it could work.
Semin, Eakin, Prospects for MIKE RICHARDS
The Kings have always been linked to Semin and are in desperate need of offense. Mike Richards is exactly the type of player the Caps need. He has not fit in as planned in LA, so another deal that is unlikely but not crazy. The length of the contract would also be a reason for the Caps to hesitate.
Big But Reasonable Additions
Perreault and Picks for DEREK ROY
Roy, who finally is healthy, has been mentioned in many deals and this one could actually work. Buffalo put a lot of money into the team this year and failed miserable. This gives them some cap relief while giving the Capitals a very credible playmaker to help make up for or complement Backstrom. Plus, Buffalo very well could be getting Roy’s replacement in the deal. Paul Gaustad is another option, but it would need to be straight up.
Schultz for HAL GILL
This one I could actually see happening. Hal Gill is well known for being the Ovechkin Killer in DC as he and current Cap Hamrlik were a key part in the 2009 playoff disappointment. He is a shutdown defender with size and could very well bring the best out of Hamrlik. Montreal would be getting size and youth back, so straight up should do. Most would have preferred Tim Gleason, but Carolina locked him up.
Schultz and Prospect for WAYNE SIMMONDS
This one is almost a pipe dream, but the parameters are not insane. Flyers need a defenseman and the Capitals need offense.
Minor but Effective
Knuble for BENOIT POULIOT
Boston is the type of team that could use Knuble for a Cup run. Pouliot has shown an ability to score, particularily in Minnesota, but has been inconsistent in Boston. He brings more to the table than Knuble does at this point and would be an upgrade in all areas but leadership.
Pick or Prospect for DOMINIC MOORE
Moore is the definition of a depth center that could give Halpern a rest at times but is also capable of playing up in the line up.
Schultz for CAM BARKER
Depth defender with an expiring contract and gets Schultz off the books. This deal could really apply to numerous defenders around the NHL.
Will update this post as more names appear in the rumor mill.
Side Note: VS telecast just said the Ducks have the best record since Jan 6. Brice Effect.
So, what can or should the Capitals do? The next 6 games and the health of Green and Backstrom will drive what McPhee does so its difficult to speculate how big a move will be made. But speculating is fun, so lets give it a try.
1. What do we need?
Again, this is entirely predicated on Backstrom and Green. If both are healthy, the Capitals could make minor, low risk moves to improve depth, toughness, and leadership, like all teams look to do in March. But, if the two former “Young Guns” are still shelved, the Capitals desperately need depth at center and another reliable defenseman.
2. Who should go?
First, we need to break the team down into four categories: Unavaliable/Get Them Out/Blue Chip Prospects/ Can Be Moved.
Unavailable: Just what it sounds like. Short of an offer of the Sedins, Stamkos, or Toews/Kane, no way these Capitals leave town:
- Alex Ovechkin- The calls to trade him are insane.
- Nick Backstrom- Hopefully there is no arguing his value now.
- Karl Alzner- Soon to be shut down star.
- John Carlson- Tough sophomore season, but is the most well rounded defender in the system
- Marcus Johansson- Look out next year.
- Brooks Laich- Heart and soul.
- Dmitry Orlov- Will develop into offensive star.
- Jason Chimera- Speed, heart, strength.
- Troy Brouwer- This one is arguable, but I really like his game. Young Knuble.
Get Them Out: Would love to move them out and would take just about anything offered within reason.
- Jeff Schultz- Enough said.
- Roman Hamrlik- Looks old and is becoming a liability
- Joel Ward- I know he is suppose to show up in May, but we need help now!
Blue Chips: Most deadline deals involve prospects. These are the ones that if asked for, McPhee should hang up right away.
- Evgeny Kuznetsov- World class talent who will make immediate impact next year. Would love to have him now.
- Braden Holtby- Think he was always the best of the three (Neuvy and Varly). Technically sound and plays older than his age.
Can be moved: When the dust settles, here are the players that can contractually and team need wise be move.
- Mike Knuble: His age has finally caught up to him. He can be a nice addition to a team like Boston, Vancouver, New York, or Detroit looking for veteran leadership for a cup run. But the Caps need help now!
- Jeff Schultz: Someone will be intrigued by his size and we can fool them into thinking his +50 in 2009-2010 was not a fluke.
- Mike Green: If the Capitals make a run at a big player, Green could be the key piece to get it done. He is young and his skills are without question. A team looking to rebuild would love to have him run the PP and since he is an RFA next year, he is not completely a rental. With the emergence of the Caps new trio of defenders and the injuries, I think Green might be done in DC regardless. It would for sure be a risk, but if he is still doubtful to return to full strength this year, McPhee should not say no.
- Matheiu Perreault: This can only happen if it nets a center or Backstrom returns. Perreault has been hot, making him more valuable than ever right now. When the team is healthy, I do not think Matty P gets a jersey on a regular basis.
- Cody Eakin: Like his game and think he could help in the future, but any big deal will likely include him given the two players off the table in the prospect category.
And now the fun one…..
- Alex Semin: The most mentioned name in any Capitals trade for the last 5 years. Semin is a world talent when he wants to be. The problem is, he never wants to be. This is an incredibly risky move given the Capitals scoring woes and his relationship with the core players. But, I doubt he returns next season (and might even bolt to the KHL), so if it nets a goal scorer, pull the trigger.
3. Ideas- Here are some possible trades. Some are for fun, but others could work....
Pipe Dreams
Semin, Green, & Picks for RICK NASH
Nash is the biggest name in the rumor mill right now and no doubt he would look great next to Ovechkin and Backstrom. This package could get it done and without Semin the Caps could support the contract, but this is a true long shot.
Semin, Eakin, and Schultz for RYAN SUTER
This one is not as crazy as it looks. Suter would easily be the Capitals best defender and could pair with Alzner to shut down anyone in the league. Nashville cannot afford to resign Suter and Weber and have always needed goal scoring. They are in the mix and Semin could help this year for sure. Not likely, but I think it could work.
Semin, Eakin, Prospects for MIKE RICHARDS
The Kings have always been linked to Semin and are in desperate need of offense. Mike Richards is exactly the type of player the Caps need. He has not fit in as planned in LA, so another deal that is unlikely but not crazy. The length of the contract would also be a reason for the Caps to hesitate.
Big But Reasonable Additions
Perreault and Picks for DEREK ROY
Roy, who finally is healthy, has been mentioned in many deals and this one could actually work. Buffalo put a lot of money into the team this year and failed miserable. This gives them some cap relief while giving the Capitals a very credible playmaker to help make up for or complement Backstrom. Plus, Buffalo very well could be getting Roy’s replacement in the deal. Paul Gaustad is another option, but it would need to be straight up.
Schultz for HAL GILL
This one I could actually see happening. Hal Gill is well known for being the Ovechkin Killer in DC as he and current Cap Hamrlik were a key part in the 2009 playoff disappointment. He is a shutdown defender with size and could very well bring the best out of Hamrlik. Montreal would be getting size and youth back, so straight up should do. Most would have preferred Tim Gleason, but Carolina locked him up.
Schultz and Prospect for WAYNE SIMMONDS
This one is almost a pipe dream, but the parameters are not insane. Flyers need a defenseman and the Capitals need offense.
Minor but Effective
Knuble for BENOIT POULIOT
Boston is the type of team that could use Knuble for a Cup run. Pouliot has shown an ability to score, particularily in Minnesota, but has been inconsistent in Boston. He brings more to the table than Knuble does at this point and would be an upgrade in all areas but leadership.
Pick or Prospect for DOMINIC MOORE
Moore is the definition of a depth center that could give Halpern a rest at times but is also capable of playing up in the line up.
Schultz for CAM BARKER
Depth defender with an expiring contract and gets Schultz off the books. This deal could really apply to numerous defenders around the NHL.
Will update this post as more names appear in the rumor mill.
Side Note: VS telecast just said the Ducks have the best record since Jan 6. Brice Effect.
Monday, February 13, 2012
Caps Fall in NYC; Road Woes Threaten to Cost Playoff Spot
Combo Recap and Road Ahead
It previous posts, it was stated that the Capitals needed to follow the Panthers win with strong showings at home against the Jets and on Broadway Sunday afternoon. No use dwelling on the sudden loss to the Jets, but the Capitals did have a decent showing against the Rangers on Sunday. The game for the most part was fairly evenly matched when one considers it was the #1 team in hockey playing at home against a team incapable of playing on the road. There were some definite bright spots despite the loss. The 1st two periods featured “Sasha Care” prominently, as the enigmatic sniper scored the 1st goal of the game and blocked a shot during an odd man rush for the Rangers. Neuvirth looked sharp at times and the Capitals showed a strong grasp of the Hunter offense as there were many extended offensive possessions based off cycling in the corners.
Unfortunately, the bright spots were not enough to help the team escape their road woes. Semin disappeared in the 3rd and Ovechkin again was neutralized by a defender (Dan Girardi) for most of the contest. The power play looked pathetic all game and ultimately cost them as the eventual game winner was scored shorthanded by Brandon Prust. In addition, two key defenders really showed their age in this one, both on the old and young side. Roman Hamrlik continues to be beat to pucks in the corner, often extended defensive zone time. Meanwhile, Orlov looked like a rookie as he was out of position on multiple occasions.
So what does this all really mean moving forward? Points are at a premium right now so these games cannot be washed away anymore. We are really reaching the point where the playoffs are coming into question. The facts do not lie and are startling:
- Road Win Percentage: 33% (9-15-3)
- Road Point Percentage: 39% (21 points out of 54 possible)
- Power Play: 18% effective (12th in NHL)
- PK: 81% effective (22nd in the NHL)
- Shots on Goal per Game: 27.4 (27th in the NHL- and keep in mind, inflated because of the coaching and philosophy change)
These numbers are not the numbers of a playoff team. Playoff teams win at home, but also take care of the road at a much better clip than 33%. The shots on goal might be the most disturbing of the statistics and is the one that might alter the others the most.
The schedule is also not favorable
Remaining Schedule:
- 14 Road Games
- 12 Home Games
- 11 Games against Playoff Teams (6 on the Road, including a 100% L to the Red Wings at the Joe)
If the current pace continues (and the Capitals win 81% of their home games) the Capitals will add 28 points to their current total, giving them a total of 89 points, which would have finished 10th in the conference last season. That’s the bad news. The good news is that the Capitals hold a great deal of their fate in their own hands. There are currently 9 teams that are “in the hunt” with DC (Devils, Senators, Panthers, Maple Leafs, Jets, Habs, and Tampa Bay) and 13 of their remaining 26 games are against those teams, meaning wins can help the Caps while crippling their opposition. Back to bad though, seven of those 13 games are on the road. And 4 of the next 6 are both on the road and against some of the teams in the hunt, making the next 6 games, highlighted by a Friday night clash with the Panthers, the key stretch of the season.
So how do the Capitals ensure that they get the job done? A key on the road has been scoring first in their few victories, which would mean a more aggressive approach from the drop of the puck. I personally would like to see a lot of Perreault/Semin/Chimera early as they seem to come out flying the most. They also MUST generate shots, and the ability to cycle the puck at MSG Sunday showed that they are capable of producing effective offensive possessions.
There is one last thing that needs to happen, but it is completely out of the team’s control. The Washington Capitals desperately need the services of Nick Backstrom, who as of now has still not begun skating. Pierre McGuire mentioned it yesterday, but Backstroms absences has affected many areas of the team. Not only is he maybe the best player on the team, but his absence has a huge impact on Ovechkin. Not only does he lose his setup man, but he also becomes the central focus on the top line and must deal with defenders like Chara, Girardi, and Hedman alone. His absence is also felt on the Power Play where the playmaking duties have fell to the very young Perreault and Johansson. The Capitals with a healthy Nick Backstrom (and Green would help as well) are probably comfortably in the playoffs and jockeying for position now. Without him, they might miss the playoffs.
Time to right the ship v San Jose tonight.
It previous posts, it was stated that the Capitals needed to follow the Panthers win with strong showings at home against the Jets and on Broadway Sunday afternoon. No use dwelling on the sudden loss to the Jets, but the Capitals did have a decent showing against the Rangers on Sunday. The game for the most part was fairly evenly matched when one considers it was the #1 team in hockey playing at home against a team incapable of playing on the road. There were some definite bright spots despite the loss. The 1st two periods featured “Sasha Care” prominently, as the enigmatic sniper scored the 1st goal of the game and blocked a shot during an odd man rush for the Rangers. Neuvirth looked sharp at times and the Capitals showed a strong grasp of the Hunter offense as there were many extended offensive possessions based off cycling in the corners.
Unfortunately, the bright spots were not enough to help the team escape their road woes. Semin disappeared in the 3rd and Ovechkin again was neutralized by a defender (Dan Girardi) for most of the contest. The power play looked pathetic all game and ultimately cost them as the eventual game winner was scored shorthanded by Brandon Prust. In addition, two key defenders really showed their age in this one, both on the old and young side. Roman Hamrlik continues to be beat to pucks in the corner, often extended defensive zone time. Meanwhile, Orlov looked like a rookie as he was out of position on multiple occasions.
So what does this all really mean moving forward? Points are at a premium right now so these games cannot be washed away anymore. We are really reaching the point where the playoffs are coming into question. The facts do not lie and are startling:
- Road Win Percentage: 33% (9-15-3)
- Road Point Percentage: 39% (21 points out of 54 possible)
- Power Play: 18% effective (12th in NHL)
- PK: 81% effective (22nd in the NHL)
- Shots on Goal per Game: 27.4 (27th in the NHL- and keep in mind, inflated because of the coaching and philosophy change)
These numbers are not the numbers of a playoff team. Playoff teams win at home, but also take care of the road at a much better clip than 33%. The shots on goal might be the most disturbing of the statistics and is the one that might alter the others the most.
The schedule is also not favorable
Remaining Schedule:
- 14 Road Games
- 12 Home Games
- 11 Games against Playoff Teams (6 on the Road, including a 100% L to the Red Wings at the Joe)
If the current pace continues (and the Capitals win 81% of their home games) the Capitals will add 28 points to their current total, giving them a total of 89 points, which would have finished 10th in the conference last season. That’s the bad news. The good news is that the Capitals hold a great deal of their fate in their own hands. There are currently 9 teams that are “in the hunt” with DC (Devils, Senators, Panthers, Maple Leafs, Jets, Habs, and Tampa Bay) and 13 of their remaining 26 games are against those teams, meaning wins can help the Caps while crippling their opposition. Back to bad though, seven of those 13 games are on the road. And 4 of the next 6 are both on the road and against some of the teams in the hunt, making the next 6 games, highlighted by a Friday night clash with the Panthers, the key stretch of the season.
So how do the Capitals ensure that they get the job done? A key on the road has been scoring first in their few victories, which would mean a more aggressive approach from the drop of the puck. I personally would like to see a lot of Perreault/Semin/Chimera early as they seem to come out flying the most. They also MUST generate shots, and the ability to cycle the puck at MSG Sunday showed that they are capable of producing effective offensive possessions.
There is one last thing that needs to happen, but it is completely out of the team’s control. The Washington Capitals desperately need the services of Nick Backstrom, who as of now has still not begun skating. Pierre McGuire mentioned it yesterday, but Backstroms absences has affected many areas of the team. Not only is he maybe the best player on the team, but his absence has a huge impact on Ovechkin. Not only does he lose his setup man, but he also becomes the central focus on the top line and must deal with defenders like Chara, Girardi, and Hedman alone. His absence is also felt on the Power Play where the playmaking duties have fell to the very young Perreault and Johansson. The Capitals with a healthy Nick Backstrom (and Green would help as well) are probably comfortably in the playoffs and jockeying for position now. Without him, they might miss the playoffs.
Time to right the ship v San Jose tonight.
Sunday, February 12, 2012
After Collaspe, Caps Take on Rangers at MSG
After failing to get both points in a heartbreaker at Verizon Thursday night, the Caps head to Broadway for a battle with the first place Rangers. The Rangers are fresh on a Saturday matinee win over their rival Flyers so the Caps might see a tired team coming down from an emotional high. Expecting an easy Caps win this afternoon against the playoff ready Rangers is doomed to failure, but a good showing in necessary given the inexcusable loss to The Jets at home. The first 10 minutes will go a long way in showing whether the Caps are a resilient enough bunch to bounce back in e heat of a playoff race. I still hold that a win on Broadway is not completely necessary, but a strong showing is.
Notes for today's tilt
- Rangers Captain Ryan Callahan is coming off his second career hattrick vs the Flyers. The Rangers Captain is equivalent to Brooks Laich on the Caps, so look for him to make an impact today.
- Save the last 3 minutes of regulation Thursday, Vokoun has been stellar and streaking, which is good news for DC. Vokoun gets the nod today against the always spectacular Lundqvist.
- No Backstrom or Green again. Look for the suddenly clicking trio of Perreault, Semin, and Chimera to continue to pick up the offensive slack.
- One can assume Knuble will get a jersey today after sitting in the press box Thursday. If he does, look for him to respond to his healthy scratch. If he does not, Knuble might be a regular in the press box as Hunter likes to play the hot hands.
- In the Southeast Division race, the Pamthers take on the Islanders at 3. Nabokov has been awesome of late, so hopefully that trend continues.
- Rangers are 7-2-1 in their last 10 and have won 3 straight. Capitals are 4-3-3 in their sat 10.
- Capitals power play clicked on Thursday and will need to continue to have a shot today. Hopefully Ovechkin will be on the boards and not the point.
Notes for today's tilt
- Rangers Captain Ryan Callahan is coming off his second career hattrick vs the Flyers. The Rangers Captain is equivalent to Brooks Laich on the Caps, so look for him to make an impact today.
- Save the last 3 minutes of regulation Thursday, Vokoun has been stellar and streaking, which is good news for DC. Vokoun gets the nod today against the always spectacular Lundqvist.
- No Backstrom or Green again. Look for the suddenly clicking trio of Perreault, Semin, and Chimera to continue to pick up the offensive slack.
- One can assume Knuble will get a jersey today after sitting in the press box Thursday. If he does, look for him to respond to his healthy scratch. If he does not, Knuble might be a regular in the press box as Hunter likes to play the hot hands.
- In the Southeast Division race, the Pamthers take on the Islanders at 3. Nabokov has been awesome of late, so hopefully that trend continues.
- Rangers are 7-2-1 in their last 10 and have won 3 straight. Capitals are 4-3-3 in their sat 10.
- Capitals power play clicked on Thursday and will need to continue to have a shot today. Hopefully Ovechkin will be on the boards and not the point.
Wednesday, February 8, 2012
Back on Top
FINAL SCORE: CAPITALS 4- PANTHERS 0
GOALS: WAS (PERREAULT, OVECHKIN, CHIMERA, OVECHKIN)/ FLA (NONE)
GOALIES: VOKOUN-W/ CLEMMENSON-L
In a game Coach Hunter called a playoff game, the Capitals produced a game that shows that the new system and personnel is capable of performing when it counts. Led by a stellar game from Vokoun and an energized Ovechkin, the Caps retook the top seed in the Southeast at least for the day with a convincing 4-0 shutout of the Florida Panthers. It was a game reminiscent of the rock star Caps of 2008 and served some notice that the Panthers have some work to do before they unseed DC. Will the play continue or will the inconsistent Caps return? Only time will tell, but it's nice to know the Capitals that to many offer the only hope for DC sports still can be found at 7th and F.
Recap
1st: It was clear the Caps showed up for this one, as the crowd was on their feet quickly. The Caps controlled the opening draw and a Chimera feed from behind found its way to a sudden red hot Matheiu Perreault alone in front just 13 seconds into the clash of Southeast Titans. The power play even clicked in this one, with an Alex Ovechkin strike making the score 2-0 at around the 10 minute mark. The Panthers started to make noise late in the period, but Vokoun shut down his old mates repeatedly and kept the score 2-0 at the end of the 1st.
2nd: The Capitals again stuck early in the 2nd, this time thanks to a pretty passing display that ended with a Chimera chip in. The Panthers continued to push, but Ovechkin ended all doubt of the outcome with an incredible individual effort after a physical Troy Brouwer caused a turnover. Ovechkin almost completed the trick on a 2 on 1 with MoJo, but Clemmenson made an impressive pad save to deny the Great 8.
3rd: Not much to say about the 3rd as Vokoun continued his stellar play and Ovechkin hunted for the hat trick. The defense held strong all period and the Caps skated off the ice to the roar of the red clad Verizon faithful as the video board updated the Southeast standings.
HERO OF THE NIGHT: Vokoun, Ward, and Laich
Vokoun Is a given. The Capitals won this game not because of the offense (which was timely and opprotunisitc for once) but because of the stellar 42 save performance by Vokoun. He got lucky a few times, but was spectacular at other times. Hop on the Vokswagon.
The telecast gave Player of the Game to Chimera, and rightly so, but DC Hockey Spot is going with the maligned Joel Ward. Ward signed a big deal this offseason and has not been as advertised thus far. But, he was signed for the playoffs and if his performance in the February playoffs was any indication, the deal MIT not be that insane.
Laich gets a shout out for playing on one leg. Heart and soul guy.
GOAT OF THE NIGHT: Shots on goal
The Caps only fired 24 shots on Clemmenson. That is not enough,particularly when the opposition fires 42. Without even a good Vokoun, the Caps lose that game.
Final Thoughts
This game can either be the beginning of a run or another blip on the radar of a disappointing season. There were many positive signs, such as an energized and high flying Ovechkin and a stellar Vokoun who normally streaks. Caps also got superb performances from the likes of Brouwer, Ward, and Chimera, who are the guys you need playing well to be a complete team. The Caps outhit the Panthers and won many puck battles. But, this game does nothing to prove the Caps have solved their 3 major problems: shots on goal, consistency, and the road. It was a big win, but it only means something if the Caps follow up with a similar effort against the Jets tomorrow and maybe more importantly the Rangers at MSG on NBC on Sunday. They do not need to win both (although it would help), but they need to prove they can string games together both at home and on the road. Only time will tell whether their February playoff win is a statement or a lie.
GOALS: WAS (PERREAULT, OVECHKIN, CHIMERA, OVECHKIN)/ FLA (NONE)
GOALIES: VOKOUN-W/ CLEMMENSON-L
In a game Coach Hunter called a playoff game, the Capitals produced a game that shows that the new system and personnel is capable of performing when it counts. Led by a stellar game from Vokoun and an energized Ovechkin, the Caps retook the top seed in the Southeast at least for the day with a convincing 4-0 shutout of the Florida Panthers. It was a game reminiscent of the rock star Caps of 2008 and served some notice that the Panthers have some work to do before they unseed DC. Will the play continue or will the inconsistent Caps return? Only time will tell, but it's nice to know the Capitals that to many offer the only hope for DC sports still can be found at 7th and F.
Recap
1st: It was clear the Caps showed up for this one, as the crowd was on their feet quickly. The Caps controlled the opening draw and a Chimera feed from behind found its way to a sudden red hot Matheiu Perreault alone in front just 13 seconds into the clash of Southeast Titans. The power play even clicked in this one, with an Alex Ovechkin strike making the score 2-0 at around the 10 minute mark. The Panthers started to make noise late in the period, but Vokoun shut down his old mates repeatedly and kept the score 2-0 at the end of the 1st.
2nd: The Capitals again stuck early in the 2nd, this time thanks to a pretty passing display that ended with a Chimera chip in. The Panthers continued to push, but Ovechkin ended all doubt of the outcome with an incredible individual effort after a physical Troy Brouwer caused a turnover. Ovechkin almost completed the trick on a 2 on 1 with MoJo, but Clemmenson made an impressive pad save to deny the Great 8.
3rd: Not much to say about the 3rd as Vokoun continued his stellar play and Ovechkin hunted for the hat trick. The defense held strong all period and the Caps skated off the ice to the roar of the red clad Verizon faithful as the video board updated the Southeast standings.
HERO OF THE NIGHT: Vokoun, Ward, and Laich
Vokoun Is a given. The Capitals won this game not because of the offense (which was timely and opprotunisitc for once) but because of the stellar 42 save performance by Vokoun. He got lucky a few times, but was spectacular at other times. Hop on the Vokswagon.
The telecast gave Player of the Game to Chimera, and rightly so, but DC Hockey Spot is going with the maligned Joel Ward. Ward signed a big deal this offseason and has not been as advertised thus far. But, he was signed for the playoffs and if his performance in the February playoffs was any indication, the deal MIT not be that insane.
Laich gets a shout out for playing on one leg. Heart and soul guy.
GOAT OF THE NIGHT: Shots on goal
The Caps only fired 24 shots on Clemmenson. That is not enough,particularly when the opposition fires 42. Without even a good Vokoun, the Caps lose that game.
Final Thoughts
This game can either be the beginning of a run or another blip on the radar of a disappointing season. There were many positive signs, such as an energized and high flying Ovechkin and a stellar Vokoun who normally streaks. Caps also got superb performances from the likes of Brouwer, Ward, and Chimera, who are the guys you need playing well to be a complete team. The Caps outhit the Panthers and won many puck battles. But, this game does nothing to prove the Caps have solved their 3 major problems: shots on goal, consistency, and the road. It was a big win, but it only means something if the Caps follow up with a similar effort against the Jets tomorrow and maybe more importantly the Rangers at MSG on NBC on Sunday. They do not need to win both (although it would help), but they need to prove they can string games together both at home and on the road. Only time will tell whether their February playoff win is a statement or a lie.
Friday, February 3, 2012
Let's Fill the Rafters
Between Stanley Cup Banners and Retired Jerseys, the Montreal Canadiens have the most impressive rafters in hockey. As the Capitals visit Montreal tomorrow and the hopes of adding a CUp banner in DC fades, let's try and add some more jerseys to the rafters of Verizon.
All Time Greatest Caps by Numbers
What gets you on the list: Numbers, Years, and Moments
1: Ron Low- 1st goalie to ever suit up for DC. Had little no no success, but there is something to being 1st.
2: Ken Klee
3: Scott Stevens: Was very successful in DC before winning the Cup with the Devils. Trails only Calle Johansson in points by Cap defenseman.
4: Kevin Hatcher
5: Rod Langway- Secretary of Defense and 2 time Norris winner. Still an active Alum.
6: Calle Johansson- All time games played leader and 1st in points by a defenseman. Except him to really be in the rafters someday.
7: Ivan Labre: Solid defender who scored 1st ever goal for DC
8; Alexander Ovechkin: Will likely be best ever when he hangs them up.
9: Danius Zubrus: Played a solid role in the lean years before Bruce.
10: Kelly Miller
11: Mike Gartner
12: Peter Bondra: Maybe the most popular Cap ever who arguably was one of the top goal scores of is era,
13: None worthy
14: Pat Peake: For what could have been....
15: Jeff Halpern: True hometown kid
16: Bengt Gustaffson
17: Chris Clark
18: Craig Laughlin: Voice of the Caps actually had a scoring touch
19: John Druce: Druce is Loose in the playoffs gives him the nod over Backstrom for now.
20: Michal Pivonka: All time assist leader. Backstrom before there was Backstrom
21: Dennis Maruk: Original Ovechkin
22: Steven Konowalchuk: Dino has better numbers......but it's Kono
23: Brian Bellows: Leadership during the Finals run
24: Mark Tinordi
25: Lots of choices......but no good ones
26: Would pick Keith Jones but he is a Flyer commentator now.
27: Craig Berube
28: Alex Semin
29: Joe Reekie
30: None worthy
31: None worthy
32: Dale Hunter: Greatest Captain in history
33: Don Beaupre
34: Al Ifrate: Hardest shot extraordinaire
35: None worthy
36: None worthy
37: Olaf Kolzig: Best goalie in franchise history
38: Cristobal Huet: Huge in the Capitals worst to first season under Boudreau
39: None worthy
40: None worhthy
41: Jason Allison
42: Not Joel Ward
43: None worthy
44: Richard Zednik
45- 51: None worthy
52: Mike Green: Pretty good and is the only choice.
53: None worthy
54: None worthy
55: Sergei Gonchar: Offensive star on the blue line for many years.
56-76: None worthy
77: Adam Oates: Key part of Fianls run
78-86: None worthy
87: Donald Brashear
88-89: None worthy
90: Joe Juneau: Star of the run to Finals with his OT heroics
91: Sergei Federov: Short lived, but score big goals (clinched SE and beat the Rangers)
So which of these deserve to be retired? I will guarantee 8, 12, and 37. Would like to see 6 and 20 as well.
All Time Greatest Caps by Numbers
What gets you on the list: Numbers, Years, and Moments
1: Ron Low- 1st goalie to ever suit up for DC. Had little no no success, but there is something to being 1st.
2: Ken Klee
3: Scott Stevens: Was very successful in DC before winning the Cup with the Devils. Trails only Calle Johansson in points by Cap defenseman.
4: Kevin Hatcher
5: Rod Langway- Secretary of Defense and 2 time Norris winner. Still an active Alum.
6: Calle Johansson- All time games played leader and 1st in points by a defenseman. Except him to really be in the rafters someday.
7: Ivan Labre: Solid defender who scored 1st ever goal for DC
8; Alexander Ovechkin: Will likely be best ever when he hangs them up.
9: Danius Zubrus: Played a solid role in the lean years before Bruce.
10: Kelly Miller
11: Mike Gartner
12: Peter Bondra: Maybe the most popular Cap ever who arguably was one of the top goal scores of is era,
13: None worthy
14: Pat Peake: For what could have been....
15: Jeff Halpern: True hometown kid
16: Bengt Gustaffson
17: Chris Clark
18: Craig Laughlin: Voice of the Caps actually had a scoring touch
19: John Druce: Druce is Loose in the playoffs gives him the nod over Backstrom for now.
20: Michal Pivonka: All time assist leader. Backstrom before there was Backstrom
21: Dennis Maruk: Original Ovechkin
22: Steven Konowalchuk: Dino has better numbers......but it's Kono
23: Brian Bellows: Leadership during the Finals run
24: Mark Tinordi
25: Lots of choices......but no good ones
26: Would pick Keith Jones but he is a Flyer commentator now.
27: Craig Berube
28: Alex Semin
29: Joe Reekie
30: None worthy
31: None worthy
32: Dale Hunter: Greatest Captain in history
33: Don Beaupre
34: Al Ifrate: Hardest shot extraordinaire
35: None worthy
36: None worthy
37: Olaf Kolzig: Best goalie in franchise history
38: Cristobal Huet: Huge in the Capitals worst to first season under Boudreau
39: None worthy
40: None worhthy
41: Jason Allison
42: Not Joel Ward
43: None worthy
44: Richard Zednik
45- 51: None worthy
52: Mike Green: Pretty good and is the only choice.
53: None worthy
54: None worthy
55: Sergei Gonchar: Offensive star on the blue line for many years.
56-76: None worthy
77: Adam Oates: Key part of Fianls run
78-86: None worthy
87: Donald Brashear
88-89: None worthy
90: Joe Juneau: Star of the run to Finals with his OT heroics
91: Sergei Federov: Short lived, but score big goals (clinched SE and beat the Rangers)
So which of these deserve to be retired? I will guarantee 8, 12, and 37. Would like to see 6 and 20 as well.
Thursday, February 2, 2012
Road Weary Caps Drop Out of the Playoff Picture
Final Score: Florida 4-Washington 2
Goals: FLA:Samuelsson (2), Weiss, Mathias: WSH: Laich, Carlson
Goalies: W- Clemmenson: L- Neuvirth
Summary
It is slowly reaching the point where the Capitals horrendous play on the road might end up costing them. The Capitals continue to not put enough shots on net and showed a complete lack of urgency until they were down 2 late. While there were some positives to takes from the loss in Tampa on Wednesday, it was hard to find too much positive in this one.
Recap
1st: The Caps came up unusually hot to start the game, hiring 9 shots in the first 10 minutes of play, yet we're unable to dent the twine. The offenseive attack slowed considerably in the second half of the period and the Caps entered the locker room tied at zero, thanks in large part to a very sharp period by Neuvirth.
2nd: Unfortuantley, the sharp start from Neuvirth came to an abrupt start early in the frame. Samuelsson caught Neuvirth leaning on an assumed dump into the zone and fired a shot on net that beat a surprised and embarrassed Neuvirth. The Caps answered back later in the period on a great individual effort by Brooks Laich and the Caps and Cats entered the 3rd knotted at 1.
3rd: The tired legs and aversion to the road caught up with DC in the 3rd. The Panthers took the lead for what turned put to be for good 4 minutes into the 3rd on the power play with Hendricks off for goalie interference. About 5 minutes later Weiss scored on an initially disallowed goal to put the game essentially out of reach. The referees intitially washed the goal out thinking Weiss had hit the puck in with his hand, but video review clearly showed it was a good goal. The Capitals tried to wake up and play after that and Carlson scored with 2 mins to go, only to promptly turn it over with the goalie pulled to put the game out of reach.
Star of the Night: Orlov and Laich
Orlov played over 22 minutes and looked sharp all game. Looks like he has all the makings on a mainstay on the backline that will allow Schultz to be moved and lessen the impact of a missing Mike Green. Laich brought his normal strong game.
Goats of the Night: Neuvirth and Semin
The goal from the redline changed the game. That has to be a save. Semin had only 3 shots on goal and none after the 14 minute mark of the 3rd. Unacceptable when you are the offense gun in the line up.
Final Thoughts
It was said about, but the Capitals simply must figure out the road. They cannot play like this and expect any success in the playoffs, let alone make the dance. The Capitals also sorely miss Backstrom. When Perreault plays 15 minutes and centers your top line, you have a major problem.
It would be nice to write these last 2 games off since 3 of the top 5 players were out. But the Caps cannot afford to ever have off games at this point and let's be honest, this is not new. Outside of Wideman and Brouwer the entire team is slumping and if it does not get fixed quick, things might get really ugly.
Capitals visit Montreal Saturday afternoon. Ovechkin returns and loves playing in Canada, so maybe that combined with Hendricks (or Rechlicz even) v Bourque round 2 will be the start of a run.
Goals: FLA:Samuelsson (2), Weiss, Mathias: WSH: Laich, Carlson
Goalies: W- Clemmenson: L- Neuvirth
Summary
It is slowly reaching the point where the Capitals horrendous play on the road might end up costing them. The Capitals continue to not put enough shots on net and showed a complete lack of urgency until they were down 2 late. While there were some positives to takes from the loss in Tampa on Wednesday, it was hard to find too much positive in this one.
Recap
1st: The Caps came up unusually hot to start the game, hiring 9 shots in the first 10 minutes of play, yet we're unable to dent the twine. The offenseive attack slowed considerably in the second half of the period and the Caps entered the locker room tied at zero, thanks in large part to a very sharp period by Neuvirth.
2nd: Unfortuantley, the sharp start from Neuvirth came to an abrupt start early in the frame. Samuelsson caught Neuvirth leaning on an assumed dump into the zone and fired a shot on net that beat a surprised and embarrassed Neuvirth. The Caps answered back later in the period on a great individual effort by Brooks Laich and the Caps and Cats entered the 3rd knotted at 1.
3rd: The tired legs and aversion to the road caught up with DC in the 3rd. The Panthers took the lead for what turned put to be for good 4 minutes into the 3rd on the power play with Hendricks off for goalie interference. About 5 minutes later Weiss scored on an initially disallowed goal to put the game essentially out of reach. The referees intitially washed the goal out thinking Weiss had hit the puck in with his hand, but video review clearly showed it was a good goal. The Capitals tried to wake up and play after that and Carlson scored with 2 mins to go, only to promptly turn it over with the goalie pulled to put the game out of reach.
Star of the Night: Orlov and Laich
Orlov played over 22 minutes and looked sharp all game. Looks like he has all the makings on a mainstay on the backline that will allow Schultz to be moved and lessen the impact of a missing Mike Green. Laich brought his normal strong game.
Goats of the Night: Neuvirth and Semin
The goal from the redline changed the game. That has to be a save. Semin had only 3 shots on goal and none after the 14 minute mark of the 3rd. Unacceptable when you are the offense gun in the line up.
Final Thoughts
It was said about, but the Capitals simply must figure out the road. They cannot play like this and expect any success in the playoffs, let alone make the dance. The Capitals also sorely miss Backstrom. When Perreault plays 15 minutes and centers your top line, you have a major problem.
It would be nice to write these last 2 games off since 3 of the top 5 players were out. But the Caps cannot afford to ever have off games at this point and let's be honest, this is not new. Outside of Wideman and Brouwer the entire team is slumping and if it does not get fixed quick, things might get really ugly.
Capitals visit Montreal Saturday afternoon. Ovechkin returns and loves playing in Canada, so maybe that combined with Hendricks (or Rechlicz even) v Bourque round 2 will be the start of a run.
Wednesday, February 1, 2012
Caps Fall in OT
FINAL SCORE: Tampa Bay 4- Washington 3 (OT)
GOAL SCOERES: WAS (Hendricks, Perreault, Brouwer); TB (Purcell, St Louis, Thompson, Stamkos-GWG)
GOALIES: W- Garon; L- Vokoun
Summary
The Capitals drop a close division game 4-3 in OT and gained a valuable point in the standings entering a pivotal Southeast match up against the Florida Panthers. The game as a whole was very sloppy on both sides. That can be attributed to the All Star Break, but in the case of the Capitals there is a good chance it had to do with who was missing. The Capitals look lost and times and passes were off all night, particularly on the anemic power play. With all those factors, it is somewhat impressive the Capitals were able to get a point, which was the general feeling in the locker room postgame.
Recap
1st: The start of this Southeast tilt was very sloppy and it took both teams awhile to start clicking. The Capitals drew blood first though and Brooks Laich made an impressive falling sweep pass to Matt Hendricks driving the net. Hendricks whiffed on the shot, but recovered with an impressive top shelf backhand. The positive energy was zapped away later in the period though as a defensive breakdown by Hamrlik led to an easy backdoor goal from Teddy Purcell in the close minutes (which has plagued DC this year).
2nd: The second period was all about momentum. Tampa Bay came out flying in the 2nd and threatened to score on multiple occasions. But, the Capitals took to momentum about a quarter of the way in thanks to one of many sparkling saves by Vokoun as he robbed Stamkos on a breakaway. Moments later, Mathieu Perraeult took a high stick from Steve Downie that gave the Capitals a 4 minute power play. Unfortunately, the power play struggles continued and a fruitless power play shifted the momentum right back to Tampa Bay, resulting in two goals against (the first of which should not have counted). The Capitals made it a game with a lucky bounce off Nate Thompson on a Perreault centering feed to make it 3-2 heading into the break.
3rd: The Capitals used their momentum from the 2nd to play a pretty good all around 3rd period that resulted in the game tying goal by Brouwer (thanks in part to a questionable hold by Brooks Laich). After failing to break the tie, the Capitals went into a very conservative mode for the last five minutes, clearly playing for the 1 OT point.
OT: Tampa Bay had most of the chances and would have ended the game much sooner if not for the heroics of Vokoun, whose save on Lecavilier might have been the save of the year. Laich had a chance to end the game, but failed to make the next pass and despite another spectacular save on St Louis, Stamkos put home his league leading 33rd goal to clinch the game for Tampa.
Star of the Game: Laich/Hendricks/Brouwer Line
The trio was by far the best line for the Capitals all night. Lots of energy and threw a ton of pucks on net to create scoring. This is a line I would consider keeping together even when the big guns come back. More to come on lines later.
Goat of the Game: Hamrlik
The 37 year old continues to look very slow and out of position at a lot. He was terrible on the 1st goal and even though he was interfered with, looked bad on the 2nd. Carlson gets 2nd place honors here as he was Hamrlik's partner most of the night.
Final Thoughts
Considering the struggles the Capitals have had on the road this year, any sort of points have to be a small victory. And fighting back from down 2 without Ovechkin and Backstrom is also impressive. But it is hard to overlook how sloppy they looked for most of the game. It is also reaching the point where you get the sinking feeling that if the road doesn’t get fixed soon, it could cost the Capitals the Southeast if not the playoffs all together.
As for the lines, with so many people out, Hunter has had to juggle and I think he has found something that could work. Semin-Perreault-MoJo looks like a line that could work as the Boston game showed. Last night, Laich-Hendricks-Brouwer showed a lot of promise as an energy line with some punch to it. I would keep those intact even when healthy and put Chimera on the wing with Backstorm and OV. They did that some last year and I really liked the straight line no nonsense speed Chimera brought to the table. The other option is to put Knuble there, who is bound to breakout at some point. That would leave Halpern-Knuble-Ward as a very experienced 4th line.
Big tilt tonight in FLA that could go a long way in determining the Southeast Crown.
GOAL SCOERES: WAS (Hendricks, Perreault, Brouwer); TB (Purcell, St Louis, Thompson, Stamkos-GWG)
GOALIES: W- Garon; L- Vokoun
Summary
The Capitals drop a close division game 4-3 in OT and gained a valuable point in the standings entering a pivotal Southeast match up against the Florida Panthers. The game as a whole was very sloppy on both sides. That can be attributed to the All Star Break, but in the case of the Capitals there is a good chance it had to do with who was missing. The Capitals look lost and times and passes were off all night, particularly on the anemic power play. With all those factors, it is somewhat impressive the Capitals were able to get a point, which was the general feeling in the locker room postgame.
Recap
1st: The start of this Southeast tilt was very sloppy and it took both teams awhile to start clicking. The Capitals drew blood first though and Brooks Laich made an impressive falling sweep pass to Matt Hendricks driving the net. Hendricks whiffed on the shot, but recovered with an impressive top shelf backhand. The positive energy was zapped away later in the period though as a defensive breakdown by Hamrlik led to an easy backdoor goal from Teddy Purcell in the close minutes (which has plagued DC this year).
2nd: The second period was all about momentum. Tampa Bay came out flying in the 2nd and threatened to score on multiple occasions. But, the Capitals took to momentum about a quarter of the way in thanks to one of many sparkling saves by Vokoun as he robbed Stamkos on a breakaway. Moments later, Mathieu Perraeult took a high stick from Steve Downie that gave the Capitals a 4 minute power play. Unfortunately, the power play struggles continued and a fruitless power play shifted the momentum right back to Tampa Bay, resulting in two goals against (the first of which should not have counted). The Capitals made it a game with a lucky bounce off Nate Thompson on a Perreault centering feed to make it 3-2 heading into the break.
3rd: The Capitals used their momentum from the 2nd to play a pretty good all around 3rd period that resulted in the game tying goal by Brouwer (thanks in part to a questionable hold by Brooks Laich). After failing to break the tie, the Capitals went into a very conservative mode for the last five minutes, clearly playing for the 1 OT point.
OT: Tampa Bay had most of the chances and would have ended the game much sooner if not for the heroics of Vokoun, whose save on Lecavilier might have been the save of the year. Laich had a chance to end the game, but failed to make the next pass and despite another spectacular save on St Louis, Stamkos put home his league leading 33rd goal to clinch the game for Tampa.
Star of the Game: Laich/Hendricks/Brouwer Line
The trio was by far the best line for the Capitals all night. Lots of energy and threw a ton of pucks on net to create scoring. This is a line I would consider keeping together even when the big guns come back. More to come on lines later.
Goat of the Game: Hamrlik
The 37 year old continues to look very slow and out of position at a lot. He was terrible on the 1st goal and even though he was interfered with, looked bad on the 2nd. Carlson gets 2nd place honors here as he was Hamrlik's partner most of the night.
Final Thoughts
Considering the struggles the Capitals have had on the road this year, any sort of points have to be a small victory. And fighting back from down 2 without Ovechkin and Backstrom is also impressive. But it is hard to overlook how sloppy they looked for most of the game. It is also reaching the point where you get the sinking feeling that if the road doesn’t get fixed soon, it could cost the Capitals the Southeast if not the playoffs all together.
As for the lines, with so many people out, Hunter has had to juggle and I think he has found something that could work. Semin-Perreault-MoJo looks like a line that could work as the Boston game showed. Last night, Laich-Hendricks-Brouwer showed a lot of promise as an energy line with some punch to it. I would keep those intact even when healthy and put Chimera on the wing with Backstorm and OV. They did that some last year and I really liked the straight line no nonsense speed Chimera brought to the table. The other option is to put Knuble there, who is bound to breakout at some point. That would leave Halpern-Knuble-Ward as a very experienced 4th line.
Big tilt tonight in FLA that could go a long way in determining the Southeast Crown.
Tuesday, January 31, 2012
Caps v Bolts Game Preview
The Caps head to St Pete on the eve of the Flordia Republican Primary to take of the underachieving Tamp Bay Lightening on NBC Sports. This is an important two points for the Caps, as they all are these days, as they hope to build on their strong end to the unofficial 1st half. The Caps will again be without 3 of the 4 "Young Guns" and will again rely on strong defense and the likes of Brouwer, Laich, Semin, and the suddenly hot Perrault to provide the offense, Win or lose, Caps need to move on quick from this game as a match up with th co- Southeast leader Flordia Panthers looks large tomorrow night.
Some notes on the game tonight:
- Vokoun set to start in goal tonight. Not surprising. Matheiu Garon goes for Tampa.
- Call up Joel Rechlicz gets a jersey tonight. From the sounds of it, Hunter called himself up from Hershey. Self labeled enforcer. Will be interesting to see how that works, since the Capitals have not had a pure enforcer since Donald Brashear.
- Schultz and Beagle watch from the press box. Again, not surprising and provides another reminder of Jeff Schultz unceremonious fall from grace.
- Reports from Kettler yesterday had Joel Ward playing on the 4th line. McPhee better hope the Capitals make the playoffs and Ward performs like he did last year, or his contract is looking more and more crippling moving forward.
Some notes on the game tonight:
- Vokoun set to start in goal tonight. Not surprising. Matheiu Garon goes for Tampa.
- Call up Joel Rechlicz gets a jersey tonight. From the sounds of it, Hunter called himself up from Hershey. Self labeled enforcer. Will be interesting to see how that works, since the Capitals have not had a pure enforcer since Donald Brashear.
- Schultz and Beagle watch from the press box. Again, not surprising and provides another reminder of Jeff Schultz unceremonious fall from grace.
- Reports from Kettler yesterday had Joel Ward playing on the 4th line. McPhee better hope the Capitals make the playoffs and Ward performs like he did last year, or his contract is looking more and more crippling moving forward.
Cause for Concern
It started by simply missing a shift against the Calgary Flames. Its been 11 games since Nick Backstrom missed that shift and the prognosis is not good. It was believed that Backstrom would resume skating before the All Star break with the hopes if a return this week. That of course was before Dale Hunter revealed that neither Backstrom nor Green skated over the break and neither is set for an imminent return. With two games upcoming against the fading yet still very relevant Panthers, this news is concerning.
Concussions have become a major point of emphasis from the league this year, and with good reason. The list of superstars who have missed time due to concussion like symptoms could take on any team in the league and win convincingly; Sidney Crosby, Backstrom, Claude Giroux, Jeff Skinner, the list goes on. And that does not even include Chris Pronger who has missed the entire season and Marc Savard, whose injury three seasons ago began the increase in awareness.
It is clear that Backstrom’s injury is far worse than it initially seemed. There is no question that he should not return to the Capitals line up until he is 100% healthy. He is too young and too valuable to the franchise to risk a Crosby like situation. With that said though, I do not believe the Capitals can really make this season end how they want without a healthy Nick Backstrom. He is the only player in the line up who is impossible to replace. Those who could step up to fill his play-making skills role (MoJo and Perraeult) are simply not ready and could not handle the ice time. And despite his increased production coinciding with the injury to Backstrom, Ovechkin cannot be the threat he is capable of being without his main pivot.
So get well soon Nick.
The Caps are going to need you.
Concussions have become a major point of emphasis from the league this year, and with good reason. The list of superstars who have missed time due to concussion like symptoms could take on any team in the league and win convincingly; Sidney Crosby, Backstrom, Claude Giroux, Jeff Skinner, the list goes on. And that does not even include Chris Pronger who has missed the entire season and Marc Savard, whose injury three seasons ago began the increase in awareness.
It is clear that Backstrom’s injury is far worse than it initially seemed. There is no question that he should not return to the Capitals line up until he is 100% healthy. He is too young and too valuable to the franchise to risk a Crosby like situation. With that said though, I do not believe the Capitals can really make this season end how they want without a healthy Nick Backstrom. He is the only player in the line up who is impossible to replace. Those who could step up to fill his play-making skills role (MoJo and Perraeult) are simply not ready and could not handle the ice time. And despite his increased production coinciding with the injury to Backstrom, Ovechkin cannot be the threat he is capable of being without his main pivot.
So get well soon Nick.
The Caps are going to need you.
Sunday, January 29, 2012
A 6 Pack of Second Half Predictions
The second half of the 2011-2012 season wmuch ore compelling than usual for the Capitals as they fight for a playoff spot and the Southeast Division crown. With that in mind, here are some predictions for the 2nd half.
1) Ovechkin will score 40 goals and reach the 80 point plateau.
As has become the common saying, this use to be automatic for the Great 8. I think the second half of this half is when Ovechkin gets back to being himself. The Capitals are going to need Ovechkin more than usual this year and I feel he will rise to occasion as he often does in the playoffs. He has been hot of late and seems to be adapting to Hunters new system. I believe part of Ovechkin's slide was a result giving up on Boudreau's system. That does not speak well to Ovechkin's leadership, but it would support a return to form in the 2nd half.
2) Mike Green has played his last regular season game in a Capitals jersey
This one is least likely to come to fruition as he might return from injury, but Green's fall from grace as been striking. He simply cannot stay healthy and I can see the organization playing it safe and trying to get him healthy for the playoffs. Even if he does return for the playoffs, I do not see him returning to DC. It would be too risky to give him the money he would demand on the open market and frankly, the money would be better spent on Carlson and Wideman. The rise of Dmitri Orlov also makes Green expendable.
3) The Capitals will not make a drastic move at the deadline, but a surprising peice is moved.
While I have advocated trading Semin, it will not happen. McPhee has been insanely loyal to the core and I do not see that changing as he tries to give Hunter a chance to win with the current stars. I do see the Caps making a play for a center and depth defenseman. Tim Gleason would be a nice fit on the blue line or possibly trying to reunite Hamrlik with Hal Gill and I think Schultz could get both those deals done. At center, look for the Capitals to take advantage of two sinking ships to add a depth center, such as Sammy Pahlssom from Columbus or Paul Gaustad from Buffalo. If a current Capital is moved, I would expect it to be Matt Perrault who I think is expendable and would bring a decent return.
4) Troy Brouwer will be the Chimera of the 2nd half and Wideman continues to be Green. Semin will not top 25 goals and Knuble will not break 15.
Love his game that combines grit with a scoring touch that should thrive under Dale Hunter. He will top the 30 goal mark and will be fill the void that has been left by a snake bitten and suddenly old Mike Knuble. Wideman, as well as Carlson, will continue to thrive under their former Loundon Knight coach. Semin meanwhile will continue to struggle and leaves for Russia at the end of the season.
5) Michal Neuvirth will play a vital role down the stretch
Vokoun has been a workhorse, but his rebound control has been bad all year and he looks slow. When he is streaking it is hard to deny his talent, but Neuvy will prove more consistent for the stretch run.
6) The Capitals will win the Southeast and make the Eastern Conference finals.
The Caps will have to fight to get in, which will benefit them as they will play meaningful hockey until the end of the regular season. And if they get in, I believe they will finally be playing the defensively responsible and gritty game that is necessary to win in the postseason. They ultimately will fall short of the ultimate prize as the offensive woes return against another team that plays good playoff hockey.
1) Ovechkin will score 40 goals and reach the 80 point plateau.
As has become the common saying, this use to be automatic for the Great 8. I think the second half of this half is when Ovechkin gets back to being himself. The Capitals are going to need Ovechkin more than usual this year and I feel he will rise to occasion as he often does in the playoffs. He has been hot of late and seems to be adapting to Hunters new system. I believe part of Ovechkin's slide was a result giving up on Boudreau's system. That does not speak well to Ovechkin's leadership, but it would support a return to form in the 2nd half.
2) Mike Green has played his last regular season game in a Capitals jersey
This one is least likely to come to fruition as he might return from injury, but Green's fall from grace as been striking. He simply cannot stay healthy and I can see the organization playing it safe and trying to get him healthy for the playoffs. Even if he does return for the playoffs, I do not see him returning to DC. It would be too risky to give him the money he would demand on the open market and frankly, the money would be better spent on Carlson and Wideman. The rise of Dmitri Orlov also makes Green expendable.
3) The Capitals will not make a drastic move at the deadline, but a surprising peice is moved.
While I have advocated trading Semin, it will not happen. McPhee has been insanely loyal to the core and I do not see that changing as he tries to give Hunter a chance to win with the current stars. I do see the Caps making a play for a center and depth defenseman. Tim Gleason would be a nice fit on the blue line or possibly trying to reunite Hamrlik with Hal Gill and I think Schultz could get both those deals done. At center, look for the Capitals to take advantage of two sinking ships to add a depth center, such as Sammy Pahlssom from Columbus or Paul Gaustad from Buffalo. If a current Capital is moved, I would expect it to be Matt Perrault who I think is expendable and would bring a decent return.
4) Troy Brouwer will be the Chimera of the 2nd half and Wideman continues to be Green. Semin will not top 25 goals and Knuble will not break 15.
Love his game that combines grit with a scoring touch that should thrive under Dale Hunter. He will top the 30 goal mark and will be fill the void that has been left by a snake bitten and suddenly old Mike Knuble. Wideman, as well as Carlson, will continue to thrive under their former Loundon Knight coach. Semin meanwhile will continue to struggle and leaves for Russia at the end of the season.
5) Michal Neuvirth will play a vital role down the stretch
Vokoun has been a workhorse, but his rebound control has been bad all year and he looks slow. When he is streaking it is hard to deny his talent, but Neuvy will prove more consistent for the stretch run.
6) The Capitals will win the Southeast and make the Eastern Conference finals.
The Caps will have to fight to get in, which will benefit them as they will play meaningful hockey until the end of the regular season. And if they get in, I believe they will finally be playing the defensively responsible and gritty game that is necessary to win in the postseason. They ultimately will fall short of the ultimate prize as the offensive woes return against another team that plays good playoff hockey.
Friday, January 27, 2012
All Star Weekend
It is becoming very hard to get excited about All Star Weekend. As with all sports, the All Star Game reduces the game of hockey to a gimmick. And this year’s version of the Mid Season Classic is missing a great deal of star power with the likes of Ovechkin, Crosby, and Lidstrom at home. I do give the NHL some credit though for trying to make the event more exciting. Brendan Shanahan had a great idea with the Fantasy Draft idea, although I do not think it has worked out as planned. Last night’s draft had its moments, but for most of the time it was rather boring.
So what else can be done? Here are some ideas:
1) Pick Better Captains- Chara was incredibly dull, Lupul was too angered by the hostile Ottawa fans, and Lundqvist served no purpose. I understand why they selected the Captains they did (by a player vote), but if the Fantasy Draft is going to work, it needs to have better personalities at the microphone. In the future, they should go with the host team superstar and then league should choose the other Captain. I think Patrick Kane would have been great last night, and of course if he were there, Alex Ovechkin would have been hilarious.
2) Make it a Winter Classic Event- The whole point of having an All Star Game midseason is to showcase the league, but the Winter Classic has taken over that role. So why not put the All Star Game at the Winter Classic? It would be really cool if the Winter Classic were held on January 1st and pitted the host city (since it must be determined long in advance) against the defending Stanley Cup Champions. Then on January 3rd, have the All Star Game on the outdoor rink.
So what else can be done? Here are some ideas:
1) Pick Better Captains- Chara was incredibly dull, Lupul was too angered by the hostile Ottawa fans, and Lundqvist served no purpose. I understand why they selected the Captains they did (by a player vote), but if the Fantasy Draft is going to work, it needs to have better personalities at the microphone. In the future, they should go with the host team superstar and then league should choose the other Captain. I think Patrick Kane would have been great last night, and of course if he were there, Alex Ovechkin would have been hilarious.
2) Make it a Winter Classic Event- The whole point of having an All Star Game midseason is to showcase the league, but the Winter Classic has taken over that role. So why not put the All Star Game at the Winter Classic? It would be really cool if the Winter Classic were held on January 1st and pitted the host city (since it must be determined long in advance) against the defending Stanley Cup Champions. Then on January 3rd, have the All Star Game on the outdoor rink.
Thursday, January 26, 2012
Top 20 Current NHL Players
Yesterday, John Buccigross of espn.com began a Top 100 players in the NHL list. Normally, ESPN cannot be counted on for stellar hockey insight and analysis, but Buccigross is the exception. In light of his list, DC Hockey Spot presents their Top 20 current NHL players, as well as some sleepers for the future.
Criteria: Numbers, Awards, Championships, Completeness of Game, and Intangibles (Leadership etc)
1. Jonathan Toews/ Center/ Chicago Blackhawks
A Stanley Cup Championship, a Gold Medal, and MVP of both tournaments is quite a resume. Toews is one of the best overall players in hockey, a sublime playmaker with a nose for the net who is responsible defensively (as his career +/- of 70 shows) and annually leads the league in face-offs won. He is not quite a point a game player yet, but the notorious slow starter already has 50 points this season, to go with 267 entering this season. He also possess two of the most important intangibles in sports- leadership and clutch performances. He is one of the youngest captains in the league, is a point per game player in the post season and rose from 13th forward to Best Forward award winner at the 2010 Olympics in his home nation of Canada.
2. Henrik Lundqvist/ Goaltender/ New York Rangers
Some may be more spectacular, but few are more consistent than Hank. In all but his rookie season, Lunduvist has started no less than 83% of the games for the Blueshirts and once played all but 9 games in a season. Couple his durability and workhorse status with a sparkling career GAA of 2.32 and S% of .918 and it is easy to see that while Miller, Luongo, and Thomas get all the press, Hank is number one in my book. And while an inconsistent offense has kept him from a Cup run in New York, he did win the Gold Medal with Sweden in 2006.
3. Sidney Crosby/ Center/ Pittsburgh Penguins
Without the health concerns, the Captain of the Pittsburgh Penguins is an uncontested number one. In 412 career games he 572 points and before he was concussed at the Winter Classic in 2010 he was on pace for 132 points and 64 goals. He possess excellent vision, an incredible ability to possess the puck, and was developing his NHL goal scoring touch before the injury. Now the question remains whether he really can make a run at the record books or whether he is new Marc Savard or Eric Lindros.
4. Henrik and Daniel Sedin/ Center and Wing/ Vancouver Canucks
Not sure anyone really knew what a heist Brian Burke pulled off when he drafted the two talent Sedin twins with the 2nd and 3rd pick in the 1999 NHL Entry Draft. Henrik is the set up guy and Daniel is the goal scorer and you rarely see one score without the other getting a point. They have emerged as two of the best players in hockey over the last three seasons, but one should question whether they would be as great without each other. Separately, I think they move down into the 15-30 range.
5. Steven Stamkos/ Center/ Tampa Bay Lightening
Barry Melrose wakes up everyday with the realization that he played Steven Stamkos on the 4th line in his 2nd chance as an NHL head coach. Stamkos has become what Alex Ovechkin use to be, the most feared shooter in hockey. In the 3 years since his rookie year he has including this year 128 goals and is set to reach a new career high this year. He is lethal on the power play and has great chemistry with the underrated St Louie. He is the new top sniper of the NHL.
6. Shea Weber/ Defenseman/ Nashville Predators
Steady defender, rocket launcher for a shot, and is massive. Weber will be the next great NHL defender if he is not already. Weber and Ryan Suter make up one of the best shutdown pairings in hockey, and with Nashville unlikely to keep both at the end of the year, some team is getting much better this offseason.
7. Zdeno Chara/ Defenseman/ Boston Bruins
Monster of a man who now has a Stanley Cup Championship ring. Like Weber, Chara is the perfect dual threat shutdown defender and offensive threat. He can both neutralize the other teams best offensive talent and contribute on the scoresheet, particularly on the Powerplay. Weber got the nod over Chara purely based on age.
8. Evgeni Malkin/ Center/ Pittsburgh Penguins
When he is on, he might be the most talented player in hockey. In 352 career games entering this season he has a better than point per game total of 418 points. He is impossible to knock off the puck and has one of the best shots in hockey. When he 1st entered the league he was a top 3 talent, but injuries have slowed him in recent years and he has a tendency to play at his most elite level when Crosby is out. It is good to be able to step up, but consistency is important as well.
9. Pavel Datsyuk/ Center/ Detroit Red Wings
The most underrated player in hockey. Datsyuk is without a doubt the best defensive forward in the game, yet also is one of the most creative and talented playmakers in the business. His shootout moves are YouTube gold and his ability to create turnovers makes him a big reason why Hockeytown experiences so much success year in and year out.
10. Claude Giroux/ Center/ Philadelphia Flyers
Maybe Paul Holmgren was not as crazy as everyone thought when he death Jeff Carter and Mike Richarda. Claude Giroux has in a very sort time period gone from a promising prospect tononeof the more talented center men in hockey. He is currently second in the league in points and has made a very old Jagr look very goodin his return to the NHL. Ranking Him this high now might be premature, but the ultra talented Giroux is well on his way to a career year in the city of Brotherly Love and will only get better.
11. Rick Nash/ Wing/ Columbus Blue Jackets
Rick Nash is often the forgotten superstar. Columbus is not a hockey market and does not succeed with any regularity. But few experts would deny that Nash is the prototypical power forward. He has been a 30-40 goal scorer for much of his career and for being such a big guy is known for his incredible handles. Like a better Todd Bertuzzi from his Vancouver days. There is a reason when the Olympics came around last he was paired with Crosby on the top line for Canada.
12. Nick Lidstrom/ Defenseman/ Detroit Red Wings
Still going strong at 41 years young, Lidstom will likely retire as the greatest defenseman of all time. He has over 1000 career points and a staggering career +/- of 429 entering this season. He is a 4 time Stanley Cup Champion, 7 time Norris Trophy winner, and Olympic Gold Medalist. He has been the backbone of the model NHL franchise for two decades and this year has made Ian White second in the league in +/-.
13. Jonathan Quick/ Goaltender/ Los Angeles Kings
While Quick is still young, his numbers and consistency might soon read like Lundquvist's. He is a bonefided workhorse and sports a career 2.34 GAA and many nights is the reason the Kings win. This year the Goal starved Kings are only afloat because of the sub 2 GAA Quick puts on the ice every night.
14. Nicklas Backstrom/ Center/ Washington Capitals
Buccigross ranked Backstrom in the 90s. That is insane. From a playmaking perspective alone Nick Backstrom is the top of the class. He is an excellent skater and has really developed a goal scoring touch to go with his passing abilities. Because of who his line mate is, Backsom often is overshadowed in DC. That will not last much longer, especially since there is a good chance he long term will be the better of the two.
15. Alexander Ovechkin/ Wing/ Washington Capitals
There was a time when Ovechkin would top this list. And then there was a time when he was undisputed top 10. And then there is now. Alex Ovechkin is still one of the most dangerous players in the world when he has the puck and you cannot take the torrid start to his career (45+ goals and 2 MVPs in his first five seasons) away from him. He also is balanced offensively as he often is close in even goals to assist (and he has averaged 1.3 points per game over his career). But there is no question he is not what he once was, but a season and a half of decreased numbers is not worth writing him off either. He still plays an incredibly physical game that few stars can match and is surely still a major point of any coaches game plan to beat the Capitals since he is far from not being a goal scorer anymore. His playoff numbers are also much better than many would expect given the teams performance (37 games, 25 goals, 25 assists). In essence, when you were as high as he was, the fall becomes exaggerated.
16. Corey Perry/ Wing/ Anaheim Ducks
Everyone hates him, unless he is on your team. Corey Perry might be the toughest player in hockey to match up against because he is the rare goal scorer that thrives in the hard to score areas. The reigning MVP had a career year last year in terms of goals and got a slow start to this year. But anyone who is willing to go onto the trenches to score with his ability is a valuable commodity that will bounce back. Caps fans, think of it like Alex Semin skill but playing like Knuble.
17. Ryan Kesler/ Center/ Vancouver Canucks
First American forward on the list and again, its for his balance of offense and defense. Last year was a breakout goal scoring year, but has played in at least 80 games and collected at least 60 points in each of the last 3 seasons. His role as a checking goal scorer is invaluable to the Canucks behind the Sedin twins.
18. Duncan Keith/ Defenseman/ Chicago Blackhawks
There are a lot of defenseman that could fill this spot. Solid defensively but moves the puck well and plays a good offensive game. Is capable of being a one man breakout and runs the powerplay. Brian Campbell, Drew Doughty, and a healthy Mike Green could also fit here.
19. Marc-Andre Fluery/ Goaltender/ Pittsburgh Penguins
More of an acrobatic keeper who has put up good numbers during his career in Pittsburgh (2.50 and .910). Was spectacular in the 2009 Cup run for the Penguins.
20. Patrice Bergeron/ Center/ Boston Bruins
Solid two way player who contributes offensively and in the faceoff dot. Think of him like a poor mans Datsyuk.
The Next Wave- So who might make the Top 20 in the future? Watch for these seven rising stars.
John Taveres/Center/Islanders- Really putting together a solid campaign on Long Island and should be fun to watch as the Isle’s continue to improve.
Jamie Benn/Center/Stars- Very underrated center for the Dallas Stars that does everything pretty well. Look for him to continue what has already been a breakout year.
Jeff Skinner/Wing/Hurricanes- Last years ROY winner burst onto the scene with a 30 goal rookie campaign. He has a nose for the net that will keep him productive despite his size.
Tyler Seguin/Center/Bruins- Quickly seems to have gone from extra piece to central piece in Boston. Leads the team in points and +/- entering the All Star break.
Jordan Eberle/ Ryan Nugent Hopkins/ Taylor Hall/Top Line/Oilers- The Oiler trio will continue to grow and produce together, making the Oiler’s a scary team in the future.
Sleeper
Matt Moulson/Wing/Islanders- 30 goals in each of his 1st two full seasons on Long Island and is off to eclipse that this year. Look for him and Taveres to put the Islanders back on the map real soon.
Super Sleeper
Karl Alzner/Defenseman/Capitals- Will soon be considered an elite shutdown defender. Look for him to develop some offensive skills over the next few seasons. Solid positionally and makes the smart move most of the time. Defenders develop slowly, so watch out. You read it here 1st.
Agree or no? Let me know!
Criteria: Numbers, Awards, Championships, Completeness of Game, and Intangibles (Leadership etc)
1. Jonathan Toews/ Center/ Chicago Blackhawks
A Stanley Cup Championship, a Gold Medal, and MVP of both tournaments is quite a resume. Toews is one of the best overall players in hockey, a sublime playmaker with a nose for the net who is responsible defensively (as his career +/- of 70 shows) and annually leads the league in face-offs won. He is not quite a point a game player yet, but the notorious slow starter already has 50 points this season, to go with 267 entering this season. He also possess two of the most important intangibles in sports- leadership and clutch performances. He is one of the youngest captains in the league, is a point per game player in the post season and rose from 13th forward to Best Forward award winner at the 2010 Olympics in his home nation of Canada.
2. Henrik Lundqvist/ Goaltender/ New York Rangers
Some may be more spectacular, but few are more consistent than Hank. In all but his rookie season, Lunduvist has started no less than 83% of the games for the Blueshirts and once played all but 9 games in a season. Couple his durability and workhorse status with a sparkling career GAA of 2.32 and S% of .918 and it is easy to see that while Miller, Luongo, and Thomas get all the press, Hank is number one in my book. And while an inconsistent offense has kept him from a Cup run in New York, he did win the Gold Medal with Sweden in 2006.
3. Sidney Crosby/ Center/ Pittsburgh Penguins
Without the health concerns, the Captain of the Pittsburgh Penguins is an uncontested number one. In 412 career games he 572 points and before he was concussed at the Winter Classic in 2010 he was on pace for 132 points and 64 goals. He possess excellent vision, an incredible ability to possess the puck, and was developing his NHL goal scoring touch before the injury. Now the question remains whether he really can make a run at the record books or whether he is new Marc Savard or Eric Lindros.
4. Henrik and Daniel Sedin/ Center and Wing/ Vancouver Canucks
Not sure anyone really knew what a heist Brian Burke pulled off when he drafted the two talent Sedin twins with the 2nd and 3rd pick in the 1999 NHL Entry Draft. Henrik is the set up guy and Daniel is the goal scorer and you rarely see one score without the other getting a point. They have emerged as two of the best players in hockey over the last three seasons, but one should question whether they would be as great without each other. Separately, I think they move down into the 15-30 range.
5. Steven Stamkos/ Center/ Tampa Bay Lightening
Barry Melrose wakes up everyday with the realization that he played Steven Stamkos on the 4th line in his 2nd chance as an NHL head coach. Stamkos has become what Alex Ovechkin use to be, the most feared shooter in hockey. In the 3 years since his rookie year he has including this year 128 goals and is set to reach a new career high this year. He is lethal on the power play and has great chemistry with the underrated St Louie. He is the new top sniper of the NHL.
6. Shea Weber/ Defenseman/ Nashville Predators
Steady defender, rocket launcher for a shot, and is massive. Weber will be the next great NHL defender if he is not already. Weber and Ryan Suter make up one of the best shutdown pairings in hockey, and with Nashville unlikely to keep both at the end of the year, some team is getting much better this offseason.
7. Zdeno Chara/ Defenseman/ Boston Bruins
Monster of a man who now has a Stanley Cup Championship ring. Like Weber, Chara is the perfect dual threat shutdown defender and offensive threat. He can both neutralize the other teams best offensive talent and contribute on the scoresheet, particularly on the Powerplay. Weber got the nod over Chara purely based on age.
8. Evgeni Malkin/ Center/ Pittsburgh Penguins
When he is on, he might be the most talented player in hockey. In 352 career games entering this season he has a better than point per game total of 418 points. He is impossible to knock off the puck and has one of the best shots in hockey. When he 1st entered the league he was a top 3 talent, but injuries have slowed him in recent years and he has a tendency to play at his most elite level when Crosby is out. It is good to be able to step up, but consistency is important as well.
9. Pavel Datsyuk/ Center/ Detroit Red Wings
The most underrated player in hockey. Datsyuk is without a doubt the best defensive forward in the game, yet also is one of the most creative and talented playmakers in the business. His shootout moves are YouTube gold and his ability to create turnovers makes him a big reason why Hockeytown experiences so much success year in and year out.
10. Claude Giroux/ Center/ Philadelphia Flyers
Maybe Paul Holmgren was not as crazy as everyone thought when he death Jeff Carter and Mike Richarda. Claude Giroux has in a very sort time period gone from a promising prospect tononeof the more talented center men in hockey. He is currently second in the league in points and has made a very old Jagr look very goodin his return to the NHL. Ranking Him this high now might be premature, but the ultra talented Giroux is well on his way to a career year in the city of Brotherly Love and will only get better.
11. Rick Nash/ Wing/ Columbus Blue Jackets
Rick Nash is often the forgotten superstar. Columbus is not a hockey market and does not succeed with any regularity. But few experts would deny that Nash is the prototypical power forward. He has been a 30-40 goal scorer for much of his career and for being such a big guy is known for his incredible handles. Like a better Todd Bertuzzi from his Vancouver days. There is a reason when the Olympics came around last he was paired with Crosby on the top line for Canada.
12. Nick Lidstrom/ Defenseman/ Detroit Red Wings
Still going strong at 41 years young, Lidstom will likely retire as the greatest defenseman of all time. He has over 1000 career points and a staggering career +/- of 429 entering this season. He is a 4 time Stanley Cup Champion, 7 time Norris Trophy winner, and Olympic Gold Medalist. He has been the backbone of the model NHL franchise for two decades and this year has made Ian White second in the league in +/-.
13. Jonathan Quick/ Goaltender/ Los Angeles Kings
While Quick is still young, his numbers and consistency might soon read like Lundquvist's. He is a bonefided workhorse and sports a career 2.34 GAA and many nights is the reason the Kings win. This year the Goal starved Kings are only afloat because of the sub 2 GAA Quick puts on the ice every night.
14. Nicklas Backstrom/ Center/ Washington Capitals
Buccigross ranked Backstrom in the 90s. That is insane. From a playmaking perspective alone Nick Backstrom is the top of the class. He is an excellent skater and has really developed a goal scoring touch to go with his passing abilities. Because of who his line mate is, Backsom often is overshadowed in DC. That will not last much longer, especially since there is a good chance he long term will be the better of the two.
15. Alexander Ovechkin/ Wing/ Washington Capitals
There was a time when Ovechkin would top this list. And then there was a time when he was undisputed top 10. And then there is now. Alex Ovechkin is still one of the most dangerous players in the world when he has the puck and you cannot take the torrid start to his career (45+ goals and 2 MVPs in his first five seasons) away from him. He also is balanced offensively as he often is close in even goals to assist (and he has averaged 1.3 points per game over his career). But there is no question he is not what he once was, but a season and a half of decreased numbers is not worth writing him off either. He still plays an incredibly physical game that few stars can match and is surely still a major point of any coaches game plan to beat the Capitals since he is far from not being a goal scorer anymore. His playoff numbers are also much better than many would expect given the teams performance (37 games, 25 goals, 25 assists). In essence, when you were as high as he was, the fall becomes exaggerated.
16. Corey Perry/ Wing/ Anaheim Ducks
Everyone hates him, unless he is on your team. Corey Perry might be the toughest player in hockey to match up against because he is the rare goal scorer that thrives in the hard to score areas. The reigning MVP had a career year last year in terms of goals and got a slow start to this year. But anyone who is willing to go onto the trenches to score with his ability is a valuable commodity that will bounce back. Caps fans, think of it like Alex Semin skill but playing like Knuble.
17. Ryan Kesler/ Center/ Vancouver Canucks
First American forward on the list and again, its for his balance of offense and defense. Last year was a breakout goal scoring year, but has played in at least 80 games and collected at least 60 points in each of the last 3 seasons. His role as a checking goal scorer is invaluable to the Canucks behind the Sedin twins.
18. Duncan Keith/ Defenseman/ Chicago Blackhawks
There are a lot of defenseman that could fill this spot. Solid defensively but moves the puck well and plays a good offensive game. Is capable of being a one man breakout and runs the powerplay. Brian Campbell, Drew Doughty, and a healthy Mike Green could also fit here.
19. Marc-Andre Fluery/ Goaltender/ Pittsburgh Penguins
More of an acrobatic keeper who has put up good numbers during his career in Pittsburgh (2.50 and .910). Was spectacular in the 2009 Cup run for the Penguins.
20. Patrice Bergeron/ Center/ Boston Bruins
Solid two way player who contributes offensively and in the faceoff dot. Think of him like a poor mans Datsyuk.
The Next Wave- So who might make the Top 20 in the future? Watch for these seven rising stars.
John Taveres/Center/Islanders- Really putting together a solid campaign on Long Island and should be fun to watch as the Isle’s continue to improve.
Jamie Benn/Center/Stars- Very underrated center for the Dallas Stars that does everything pretty well. Look for him to continue what has already been a breakout year.
Jeff Skinner/Wing/Hurricanes- Last years ROY winner burst onto the scene with a 30 goal rookie campaign. He has a nose for the net that will keep him productive despite his size.
Tyler Seguin/Center/Bruins- Quickly seems to have gone from extra piece to central piece in Boston. Leads the team in points and +/- entering the All Star break.
Jordan Eberle/ Ryan Nugent Hopkins/ Taylor Hall/Top Line/Oilers- The Oiler trio will continue to grow and produce together, making the Oiler’s a scary team in the future.
Sleeper
Matt Moulson/Wing/Islanders- 30 goals in each of his 1st two full seasons on Long Island and is off to eclipse that this year. Look for him and Taveres to put the Islanders back on the map real soon.
Super Sleeper
Karl Alzner/Defenseman/Capitals- Will soon be considered an elite shutdown defender. Look for him to develop some offensive skills over the next few seasons. Solid positionally and makes the smart move most of the time. Defenders develop slowly, so watch out. You read it here 1st.
Agree or no? Let me know!
Wednesday, January 25, 2012
State of the Arena
While most of the Nation was focused on the House Chamber and President Obama last night, Capital fans were watching their DC hockey team put a bow on one of their most impressive wins of the season, a 5-3 win over the defending Stanley Cup Champion Boston Bruins. In light of both the Presient's State of the Union and the unofficial halfway point of the NHL season, it seemed the opportune time examine where the Capitals current stand. Much like Obama last night, let's take a look at a few of the key issues of the 1st half, mainly where they currently stand, the Captain, and the Coach.
The Basics
The Capitals enter the break with a mark of 26-19-3, good for a tie for 1st in the Southeast. Their 18-6-1 mark at Verizon Center is tops in the East and their 136 goals scored are good for 6th in the conference. That's the good. The bad is that their 55 total points put them in a 4 way logjam and if the tie breakers broke differently, the Capitals would be on the outside looking in regarding the playoff picture. And while home ice has been good to the Capitals, the road has been nothing short of ugly, as their 8 road wins puts them in the bottom 3 in the East, which does not bode well for team that easily could be in the 8 playoff spot if the season's end was near. Couple that with the 137 goals allowed, good for a -1 goal differential, and despite what the standings current say, the Capitals are currently not a team fit to compete for the prize. But the good thing is, the end is not too near.
Ovechkin
For The foreseeable future, the success of the Washington Capitals is tied to the success of Alexander Ovechkin, who currently is mired in a slump that some would say has lasted 2 season. Gone are the days of 65 goals, but the Capitals still put one of the Top 10 offensive threats on the ice every night, which is never a bad thing. But threats are only good for as long as they are valid, and Ovechkin is flirting with that line. While he has come on of the late, Ovechkin does not strike the fear into opponents that he once did and does not deliver when the Capitals needs him the most as he once did. Everyone knows his moves and his slips and shanks seem to occur with more regularity than they once did. Combine all those things with a new system, a suspension that he reacted far too casual to, and his team on the cusp of the playoffs in what many see as an all in season and the next half a season might well be the most important of his career.
Dale Hunter
Bruce Boudreau was the scapegoat for the Capitals poor start, particularly on the road. Plain and simple. He lost the room, but that is more about the players and leadership than the coach. Enter Hunter, one of the most popular Capitals of all time and former coach of the incredibly successful London Knights of the Ontario Hockey League. Since his arrival the Capitals have taken on the personality of their sandpaper coach and have become a more defensive minded and tough team to play against. What Hunter now needs to do is figure out how to get the offensive back. That seems to be the fatal flaw with this team, they cannot do it all, something necessary to lift the Cup in June. The question moving forward will be how Hunter can fully implement his capitalize on mistakes offense or if that philosophy will even work at the NHL level. Because less than 20 shots a night will not get it done. The Capitals are now capable of playing the defense necessary to win in May under Hunter's new system. The question is whether the offenseive philosophy is fatally flawed.
What's Next?
Adversity is suppose to be the best teacher. That mantra is getting old in DC. Most believe the Capitals are going in the right direction under the new coaching regime and that the roster is built for a playoff run. With that said, something needs to change, and here are some ideas
1. Trade Alex Semin. It is time to pull the trigger. Semin does not fit the new philosophy. A smooth skating dangler does not fit with a defense cycle team that waits for turnovers. A deal out West for a hard working winger or a second line center would go a long way to improve this team in the short and long term, as Evgeny Kuznetsov is ready and waiting in Russia.
2. Force Fix 8. Ovechkin has proven he cannot come up with a new 1 on 1 move. So take that off the board. Run the offense to OV not through him. At least point Ovechkin's shot is his best asset. Get the goalie and defense moving and get the puck to him to shoot, rather than letting him streak down the left wing.
3. Alter the offensive philosophy. The defense will be fine as long as the goaltending becomes more consistent, which has seemed to be the case recently. Time to become a little more aggressive with the offensive. And the two biggest issues are puck possession and shots. Possessions are not long enough because the defense retreats too early and does not hold the blue line which takes away shots. There just simply are not enough mistakes in the NHL for the offense to be completely supported by the opprtunistic nature of the Hunter offense. That coupled with the momentary lapses that have plagued the Capitals early on the road make a more aggressive approach that much more important as teams that do not shoot and create enough offense cannot win on the road when they get behind.
Just my two sense. I am no expert. On to the second half!
The Blog is Back
After a year long hiatus, the DC Hockey Spot is back with all your Capitals and NHL news and analysis from the fan's perspective.
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